GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
2 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
3 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
3 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 40%
5 WANG William M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
6 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
7 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
8 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
9 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
10 BISSEN Quinn 100% 98% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
11 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
12 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
13 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
14 BAMPTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
15 ZHANG James 100% 99% 90% 54% 10% 1%
16 LEHNER Brian 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
17 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
18 UNG Kei 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
19 BROOKS Zach B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 40%
20 MITTAL Sanil 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
21 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
22 PIENTA Chris J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
23 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
24 BOSS Evan 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2%
25 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
26 JANYSKA Allen 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
27 XIAO Yichen 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
28 SNYDER Alex 100% 96% 73% 35% 7% 1%
29 GUTIERREZ-SARABIA Nicholas 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 1%
30 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
31 RIECK Brennan 100% 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% -
32 ALI Adam 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
33 MILLER Lance W. 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% -
34 ZHENG Alan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
35 LARSON Vaughn 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
36 LAPP J P 100% 97% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
37 LI Peizhen (Daniel) 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
38 CHU Ian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
39 SWANSON Dave 100% 99% 78% 36% 8% 1%
40 CASTELLI Marco 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
41 ZHANG Michael 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
42 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
42 TIMEK Jan 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
44 TOWNSEND George 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
45 PATEL Aayan 100% 87% 43% 8% - -
46 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 70% 28% 5% - -
47 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
48 SAYLOR Henry 100% 17% 1% - - -
49 OLIN Wesley 100% 94% 64% 20% 2% -
50 DEPAUW Achiel 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
51 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
52 JERDEE trevor 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
53 TAHA Ray 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% - -
54 JERDEE Colton 100% 69% 17% 2% - - -
55 TICHENOR Abreham 100% 55% 9% 1% - - -
56 WILLIAMS Richard 100% 97% 64% 22% 3% -
57 STREETER Oliver 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% -
58 AYAR Riley 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
59 VERWORN Jonathan 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.