Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIDYANY Evan - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
2 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - - 4% 21% 44% 32%
3 MEHROTRA Neel - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 MIDYANY Ryan - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
5 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
6 YI Nathan - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
7 KIM Gene - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
8 DELONG Joshua - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
9 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - - 1% 16% 83%
10 ARMSTRONG TyLee - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
11 ROBERTS Phoenix - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
11 CHO Alex - - 1% 10% 32% 42% 15%
13 DODIN Daniel M. - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
15 SHIM Jae - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
16 LUO Alexander - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 12%
17 YANG Gary - - 1% 10% 40% 40% 8%
18 MIKHAIL Lucas - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
19 ZHENG Jason - 5% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
20 HELMY Richard - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
21 MILINKOVIC Maksim - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
23 SINGLETON Aman - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
23 PENG Yue - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
25 BORAN Brooks - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
26 CHEN Jayden - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
27 CHANG Matthew - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
28 WANG Marcus - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
29 ALABI Azryl 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% 1%
30 ZHANG Austin 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
31 KONG Ethan 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
32 YAO Tristan 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
33 SHCHUR Grayson - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
34 LEE DoWon - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
35 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 1% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
36 KIM Daniel 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% < 1%
37 LEE Anton - - 3% 13% 33% 38% 14%
38 RODOCANACHI Hector - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
39 MASSIE Jay 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
40 YAKHNIS Seth 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
41 FOGEL Jake 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
42 RICHMOND Ozan - 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
43 MEDISETTI Arjun 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
44 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
45 KONG Brandon - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
46 GATEWOOD Michael 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
47 ZHANG jonathan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
48 ADDYSON Aidan - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
48 PARKS-GOOD Tyler - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% -
50 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 1% 11% 32% 37% 18% 3%
51 CHANEY Charles - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
51 TANG Daniel 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
53 ROBERTS Arthur 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
53 KIM Remington - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
55 TUMULA Arihaan 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
56 KIM Julian - - 3% 17% 39% 32% 8%
57 NAM Nathaniel - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
58 GRIGGS Kaiden 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
59 THOMAS Andrew - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
60 GUO Lucas 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
61 URIA Sullivan - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 7%
62 WILKERSON Tobias 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
63 CHAN Ian 6% 31% 40% 19% 4% - -
64 YAO Aiden 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
65 KROPP Wesley - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
66 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 6% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
67 THOMAS Ethan - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 10%
68 YU Jeremy 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
69 TSIEN Richard - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
70 BHANDARE Veer 2% 22% 40% 28% 8% 1%
71 MCCABE Kian 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
72 MASKIN Mikhail 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
73 ALPSOY Emir 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
74 ELLIS, IV Floyd 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
75 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
76 KIM Doyun 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
77 ZHANG Shuhao 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
78 QI Bryan 10% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
79 YAO Ryan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
79 KUYKENDALL Lucas 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
81 RAMEY Daylon 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
82 HE Bronto - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
83 CAFASSO Alexander - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
84 BURT Jonathan Parker 35% 46% 16% 2% - - -
85 BAYUS Oliver 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
86 SHAPIRO Samuel 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
87 KIM Louie 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
88 STRAFFORD Andrew 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
89 KIAYIAS Alexander - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
89 DEGUZMAN Holden 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
91 FRIZZELL Kai 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
92 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
93 BANG Dylan 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
94 JONES Gideon 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
95 KESELMAN Ron 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
96 WU Jiachen 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
97 MILLER Balthazar 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
98 ARMSTRONG Payson 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
99 FENG Xinmin 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
100 MILLER Xavier 6% 28% 40% 21% 5% - -
101 LAI Jayden 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
102 BERARDINI Matteo 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
103 CHO Adrian 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
104 FEELY Benjamin 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
105 ZHAO Brandon 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
105 HAM Ian 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
107 WHITE Jackson 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
108 DING Charlie 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
109 KUBBA Sauvil 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
110 LILAJ Aleks 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
110 BHATT Shivam 66% 29% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.