Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
2 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
3 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
5 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
6 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
7 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
8 DELONG Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
9 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
10 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
11 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
11 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
13 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
15 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
16 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
17 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48% 8%
18 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
19 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
20 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
21 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
23 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
23 PENG Yue 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
25 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1%
26 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
27 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
28 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
29 ALABI Azryl 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
30 ZHANG Austin 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
31 KONG Ethan 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
32 YAO Tristan 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
33 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
34 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
35 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
36 KIM Daniel 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% < 1%
37 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
38 RODOCANACHI Hector 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
39 MASSIE Jay 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
40 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
41 FOGEL Jake 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4% -
42 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
43 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
44 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
45 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
46 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
47 ZHANG jonathan 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
48 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
48 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% -
50 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
51 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
51 TANG Daniel 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
53 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
53 KIM Remington 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
55 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
56 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
57 NAM Nathaniel 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% 1%
58 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
59 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
60 GUO Lucas 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
61 URIA Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
62 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
63 CHAN Ian 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% - -
64 YAO Aiden 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
65 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
66 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
67 THOMAS Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
68 YU Jeremy 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
69 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
70 BHANDARE Veer 100% 98% 76% 37% 9% 1%
71 MCCABE Kian 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
72 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
73 ALPSOY Emir 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
74 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
75 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
76 KIM Doyun 100% 92% 65% 30% 9% 1% -
77 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
78 QI Bryan 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% - -
79 YAO Ryan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
79 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -
81 RAMEY Daylon 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
82 HE Bronto 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
83 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
84 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
85 BAYUS Oliver 100% 97% 83% 52% 22% 5% -
86 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
87 KIM Louie 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
88 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
89 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
89 DEGUZMAN Holden 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
91 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% -
92 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
93 BANG Dylan 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
94 JONES Gideon 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
95 KESELMAN Ron 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
96 WU Jiachen 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
97 MILLER Balthazar 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
98 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
99 FENG Xinmin 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
100 MILLER Xavier 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
101 LAI Jayden 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
102 BERARDINI Matteo 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
103 CHO Adrian 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
104 FEELY Benjamin 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
105 ZHAO Brandon 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
105 HAM Ian 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
107 WHITE Jackson 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
108 DING Charlie 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
109 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 73% 26% 5% - - -
110 LILAJ Aleks 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
110 BHATT Shivam 100% 34% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.