Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NING Miranda - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
2 YANG Hannah - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
3 OLELE Ifechi - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
3 HOWARD Katherine 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
5 CHEN Madeline - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
6 SILVA Hailey 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
7 LEE Kate - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
8 CHEN Laila - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
9 YU Chloe - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
10 FAN Joy - 2% 16% 36% 34% 11%
11 HAN Emma - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
12 LI Ariel - 2% 14% 37% 36% 10%
13 ZHANG Ashley 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
14 LI Xier - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
15 CHEN Reina 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
16 LAI Juliet 6% 38% 38% 15% 3% -
17 YOON Cora 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
18 JIANG chenxi - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
19 LAW Mila - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
20 CHANG Hannah 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
21 NIKOLLA Vivienne 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
22 XIE ANDREA - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6%
23 AZARYAN Diana - 3% 13% 30% 35% 18% 3%
24 JIANG Alexandra 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
25 NISHANTH Krishvi 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
26 LIU Brinley - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
27 MEGGERS Arya 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
28 GOPU Jyothirvida 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
29 YOUN Emily - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
30 FAN Olivia 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
31 TRIVULCE Scarlett 7% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
32 LEWIN Isabelle 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
33 ALLIEVI Simone 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
34 MAEDJE Abigail 1% 9% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
35 KOUAME Candice - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
36 AXELROD Charlotte - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
37 KWON Claire - 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
38 ZHAO Rachel 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
39 YOUNG Penelope 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
40 TAKAWIRA ANESU 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
41 LEE Zoe 12% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
42 GUERRERO Sara - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
42 KOGAN Maya 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
44 QI Chelsie - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
45 ZHANG Audrey A. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
46 ILYAS Daanya 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
47 CHANEY Evelyn - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
48 KWON Allison 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
49 KIM Kate 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% -
50 PEKKER Amina - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
51 ZHANG Sophia 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
52 CHUNG Yenna 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
53 WANG Jenny wang 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
54 TANG Sophie 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
55 WANG Hailie 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
56 TIAN Anika 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
57 POTOTSCHNIK-ABRIL Lola 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
58 KEMPS Hope 37% 44% 17% 3% - -
59 KIM Lina 70% 26% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.