Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NING Miranda 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
2 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
3 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
3 HOWARD Katherine 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
5 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
6 SILVA Hailey 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
7 LEE Kate 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
8 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
9 YU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
10 FAN Joy 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
11 HAN Emma 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
12 LI Ariel 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10%
13 ZHANG Ashley 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
14 LI Xier 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 4%
15 CHEN Reina 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
16 LAI Juliet 100% 94% 55% 17% 3% -
17 YOON Cora 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
18 JIANG chenxi 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
19 LAW Mila 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
20 CHANG Hannah 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
21 NIKOLLA Vivienne 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
22 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 6%
23 AZARYAN Diana 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
24 JIANG Alexandra 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
25 NISHANTH Krishvi 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
26 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
27 MEGGERS Arya 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
28 GOPU Jyothirvida 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
29 YOUN Emily 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
30 FAN Olivia 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
31 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
32 LEWIN Isabelle 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
33 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
34 MAEDJE Abigail 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
35 KOUAME Candice 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
36 AXELROD Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
37 KWON Claire 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
38 ZHAO Rachel 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
39 YOUNG Penelope 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
40 TAKAWIRA ANESU 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
41 LEE Zoe 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% -
42 GUERRERO Sara 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
42 KOGAN Maya 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
44 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
45 ZHANG Audrey A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
46 ILYAS Daanya 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
47 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
48 KWON Allison 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
49 KIM Kate 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
50 PEKKER Amina 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
51 ZHANG Sophia 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
52 CHUNG Yenna 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
53 WANG Jenny wang 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
54 TANG Sophie 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
55 WANG Hailie 100% 85% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
56 TIAN Anika 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
57 POTOTSCHNIK-ABRIL Lola 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
58 KEMPS Hope 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
59 KIM Lina 100% 30% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.