Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Aiden - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
2 DOUBOV Andrew - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
3 RAPALSKI Thomas - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 OSBORN Hunter - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
6 LIDSKY Phineas - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
7 YI Nathan - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
8 YU Jason - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
9 LEE DoWon - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
10 SAUNIER Cameron - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
11 CHO Alex - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
12 SHOUSHA Hamza - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
13 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
13 LI Jade - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
15 MODANLOU Navid - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
16 SINGLETON Aman - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
17 MIDYANY Evan - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
18 CUELLAR Markus - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
19 CHEN Edward - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
20 HELMY Richard - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
21 LEE Henry 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
22 WANG Marcus - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
23 KIM Remington - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
23 MIDYANY Ryan - 1% 9% 26% 38% 23% 4%
25 KIM Gene - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
26 DILDA Griffin 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
27 LEE Benjamin - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
28 SINGH Ravin - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 28%
29 MIKHAIL Lucas 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 2%
30 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
31 TSIEN Richard 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
32 RICHMOND Ozan 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
33 ROBERTS Phoenix - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
34 CHEN Jayden - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
35 MAKOLO Hudson 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
36 ADDYSON Aidan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
37 BROSNAN Solomon 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
38 LIN Haley 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
39 KROPP Wesley 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
40 MILINKOVIC Maksim 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
41 ZHANG Lucas - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
42 RODOCANACHI Hector 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
42 RAMEY Daylon 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
44 ZAHRAN Aiden - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 8%
44 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
46 LEE Anton - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
46 KONG Brandon 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
48 HE Bronto - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
49 NILSEN Mark 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
50 ZHANG Austin 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
51 SUNKARA Vishnu 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
51 CHO Adrian 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
53 SUN Lucas - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
54 TSEN Mason 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
55 DELONG Joshua 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
56 ZHU Eason 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
57 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
58 YANG Gary - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
59 MASSIE Jay 2% 12% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
60 KE Sebastian - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
61 BANG Dylan 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
62 GRIGGS Kaiden 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
63 THOMAS Ethan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
64 FOGEL Jake 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
65 SHILOV Maxim 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
66 CHANEY Charles 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
67 MEDISETTI Arjun 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
68 ARZT Nicholas 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
69 KOGAN Yelisey L. 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
70 SMOTHERS Nathan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
71 GATEWOOD Michael 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
72 CAFASSO Alexander - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
73 YAO Tristan 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
74 DAVIS Andrew 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
75 LEE Carson - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
77 LUO Alexander - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
77 LEECH Braedan 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
79 YU David 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
80 HALE Bradley 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
81 MCCABE Kian 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
82 ARMSTRONG Payson 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
82 FENG Xinmin 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
84 WILKERSON Tobias 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
85 WU Jiachen 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
86 ROBERTS Arthur 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
87 BAYUS Oliver 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
88 JONES Gideon 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
89 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 11% 31% 33% 18% 6% 1% -
90 NAM Nathaniel 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
91 ALABI Azryl 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
92 CHAN Ian 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
93 MAXWELL Sheito 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
94 PARY Jean Pierre 39% 40% 17% 4% - - -
95 PERI Mourya 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
96 STRAFFORD Andrew 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
97 GUO Lucas 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.