Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
2 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
5 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
6 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
7 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
8 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
9 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
10 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
11 CHO Alex 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
12 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
13 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
13 LI Jade 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
15 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
16 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
17 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
18 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
19 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
20 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
21 LEE Henry 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
22 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
23 KIM Remington 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
23 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
25 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 9%
26 DILDA Griffin 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
27 LEE Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
28 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
29 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
30 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
31 TSIEN Richard 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
32 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
33 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
34 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
35 MAKOLO Hudson 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
36 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
37 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 74% 30% 5% -
38 LIN Haley 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
39 KROPP Wesley 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
40 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
41 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
42 RODOCANACHI Hector 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
42 RAMEY Daylon 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
44 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 8%
44 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
46 LEE Anton 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
46 KONG Brandon 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
48 HE Bronto 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
49 NILSEN Mark 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
50 ZHANG Austin 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
51 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
51 CHO Adrian 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
53 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
54 TSEN Mason 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% -
55 DELONG Joshua 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
57 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 81% 37% 8% 1%
58 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
59 MASSIE Jay 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
60 KE Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
61 BANG Dylan 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
62 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
63 THOMAS Ethan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
64 FOGEL Jake 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
65 SHILOV Maxim 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
66 CHANEY Charles 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
67 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
68 ARZT Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
69 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
70 SMOTHERS Nathan 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
71 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
72 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
73 YAO Tristan 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
74 DAVIS Andrew 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
75 LEE Carson 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
77 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
77 LEECH Braedan 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
79 YU David 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
80 HALE Bradley 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
81 MCCABE Kian 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
82 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
82 FENG Xinmin 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
84 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
85 WU Jiachen 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
86 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% - -
87 BAYUS Oliver 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
88 JONES Gideon 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
89 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
90 NAM Nathaniel 100% 92% 61% 20% 2%
91 ALABI Azryl 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
92 CHAN Ian 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
93 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
94 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
95 PERI Mourya 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
96 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
97 GUO Lucas 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.