American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene - - - - 4% 26% 70%
2 DODIN Daniel M. - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
3 MIDYANY Ryan - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
3 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
5 KROPP Wesley - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
6 WU Matthew - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
7 CHIANG William - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 4%
8 ZHENG Jason - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
9 CHEN Evan - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
10 MOSTOVOY philip - - - - 4% 27% 69%
11 PUTHOFF Henry - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
12 MEDISETTI Arjun - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
13 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
13 KIM Doyun - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
15 MOSLEY Wally - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
16 HONG Ethen 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
17 CHALLAMEL Hadrien - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
18 CHEN Daniel - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
19 ROBERTS Arthur - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
20 SONG Aidan - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
21 KHERSONSKY Robert - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
22 YAKHNIS Seth - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
23 CHO Adrian - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
24 LANE Sawyer 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
25 ROFINO Samuel 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
26 LAI Jayden - 2% 12% 29% 36% 18% 3%
27 BHANDARE Veer - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
28 ZHOU Luke - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
29 YOO Lucas 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
30 TOPRANI Valmik - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 3%
31 KIM Julian - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
32 CAVALLARO Sebastian 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
33 DANILOV Artur - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
34 ZHENG Jasper - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
35 FRIZZELL Kai - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
36 CHANG Connor 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
37 LEE Harrison - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 10%
38 WU Jiachen 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
39 MA Joseph 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2% -
40 WANG Henry 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
41 KIM Louie 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
42 PARK Ethan - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
43 NOOL Aaron - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
44 GUJJA Rishabh - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
45 KO Ethan 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
46 SCHLUBACH Jasper 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
47 DIMOV Daniel - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
48 YU George 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
49 TANG Colin - 3% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
50 CHEN Jayden A - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 1%
51 ZHAO Brandon 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
51 CHEN Hayden 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
53 O'BRIEN Michael 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
54 LI Jayden 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
55 KLOTS Theo 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
56 ZHANG yinuo 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
57 DAND Zahin 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
58 LI Nolan - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
59 WHITE Jackson 1% 5% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
60 ARMSTRONG Payson - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
61 TANG Luke 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
62 YAO Irvine 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
63 SHEN Alaric 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
64 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
65 FANG Charlie - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
66 SUK Kwon 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
67 LIN Aiden 26% 46% 23% 4% - - -
68 DAI Jason - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
69 MILLER Xavier 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
70 BUTLER Xavier - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
71 DING Charlie 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
72 CHEN Benjamin 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
73 GORE Noah 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
74 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
75 KESELMAN Ron 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
76 WHITE Leonardo 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
77 SON Isaac 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
78 NG Remy - 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2%
79 JIANG Aidan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
80 TANG Jayce 3% 21% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
81 ZHAO ryan - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13% 1%
81 SHAO Mason - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
83 KOVAC Blake - 5% 22% 36% 28% 8% 1%
84 SPEZAKIS Achilles 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
84 IVANOV Andrew - 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
86 YOON Jonathan 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
86 MAXWELL Taiga 1% 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
88 CHEN Regis 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
89 ZHU David 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
90 SHI Peyton 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
91 KIM Brendan 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
92 ZHANG Jacob 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
93 JIN Derek 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
94 MILLER Brodrick 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
95 MURPHY CHANCOGNE Quentin 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
96 YAN Milan 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
97 ZHANG Jayden 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
98 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
99 QI Bryan 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
100 SHKOP Alexander 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
101 SMITH Theo 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
102 MAK Nolan 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
103 LAI Jaxon 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
104 WANG William 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
104 ZHEN Maxwell 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
106 CHEDRAWI Nicholas 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
107 ZHANG Renkui 6% 21% 33% 26% 12% 3% -
108 LEE Taeryum 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
109 GREGORY Milo 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
109 AU Wesley 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
111 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 12% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
112 CAVALLARO Xavier 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
113 TAN Wyatt 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
114 HWANG Christopher 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
115 TANG Jake 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
116 MATHEW Benjamin 79% 19% 2% - - - -
116 GOOD Adam 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
118 LOGINOV Iurii 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.