American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
3 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
5 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
6 WU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
7 CHIANG William 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 4%
8 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
9 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
10 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
11 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
12 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
13 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 6%
13 KIM Doyun 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
15 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
16 HONG Ethen 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
17 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6%
18 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
19 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
20 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
21 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
22 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 11%
23 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 28% 4%
24 LANE Sawyer 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
25 ROFINO Samuel 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
26 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
27 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
28 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
29 YOO Lucas 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
30 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 3%
31 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29%
32 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
33 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
34 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
35 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
36 CHANG Connor 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
37 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
38 WU Jiachen 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
39 MA Joseph 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2% -
40 WANG Henry 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
41 KIM Louie 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
42 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
43 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
44 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
45 KO Ethan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
46 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
47 DIMOV Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
48 YU George 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
49 TANG Colin 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
50 CHEN Jayden A 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
51 ZHAO Brandon 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
51 CHEN Hayden 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
53 O'BRIEN Michael 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
54 LI Jayden 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
55 KLOTS Theo 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
56 ZHANG yinuo 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
57 DAND Zahin 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
58 LI Nolan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16% 2%
59 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
60 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 16%
61 TANG Luke 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
62 YAO Irvine 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
63 SHEN Alaric 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
64 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
65 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
66 SUK Kwon 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
67 LIN Aiden 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
68 DAI Jason 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 1%
69 MILLER Xavier 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
70 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
71 DING Charlie 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
72 CHEN Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
73 GORE Noah 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
74 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
75 KESELMAN Ron 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
76 WHITE Leonardo 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
77 SON Isaac 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
78 NG Remy 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
79 JIANG Aidan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
80 TANG Jayce 100% 97% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
81 ZHAO ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14% 1%
81 SHAO Mason 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
83 KOVAC Blake 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
84 SPEZAKIS Achilles 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
84 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
86 YOON Jonathan 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
86 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
88 CHEN Regis 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
89 ZHU David 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
90 SHI Peyton 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
91 KIM Brendan 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
92 ZHANG Jacob 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
93 JIN Derek 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
94 MILLER Brodrick 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
95 MURPHY CHANCOGNE Quentin 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
96 YAN Milan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
97 ZHANG Jayden 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
98 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
99 QI Bryan 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
100 SHKOP Alexander 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
101 SMITH Theo 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
102 MAK Nolan 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
103 LAI Jaxon 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
104 WANG William 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
104 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
106 CHEDRAWI Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
107 ZHANG Renkui 100% 94% 73% 41% 15% 3% -
108 LEE Taeryum 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
109 GREGORY Milo 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
109 AU Wesley 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
111 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
112 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
113 TAN Wyatt 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
114 HWANG Christopher 100% 85% 46% 12% 2% -
115 TANG Jake 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
116 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 21% 2% - - - -
116 GOOD Adam 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
118 LOGINOV Iurii 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.