Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HU Lucas - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
2 SETO Jing - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
3 ZAYDMAN Ethan - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
3 SU Caleb - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
5 XIA Dashan - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
7 HU Robert J. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
8 SAVORETTI Francesco - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
9 MAO Benjamin - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
10 KIM Henry - 1% 4% 17% 33% 32% 12%
11 TIKHONOV Ilia - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
12 BOUDREAUX James - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
13 SVERDLOV Seth - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
14 LI Morgan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
15 FEINBERG James Y. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
16 PETERSEN Zachary 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
17 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 1% 10% 32% 38% 16% 2%
18 LI Zachary - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
19 SIALA Omar 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
20 CHEN Leonardo - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
21 SIYANKO Joshua - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
22 NORMILE Nicholas - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
22 KARIMOV Amir - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
24 LEE Aiden - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
25 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 4% 17% 33% 32% 12% 1%
26 LEE JoonWon - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
27 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
28 WONG King-Yee - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
29 JIANG Matthew - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
30 RIM Eugene 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
31 CHEN Jun Ho - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
32 CHEN YiHeng - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
33 TRAN Spencer - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
34 LEE Aiden - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 5%
35 LIU Adam - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
36 SOKOL Luke - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
37 CHEN Jayden 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
38 YU Samuel - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
39 TATE William Isom - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
40 BAJAJ Nakul 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
41 RVACHEV Michael 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
42 SHA Michael - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
43 SONG Changze 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
44 BRADSHAW Carter - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
45 YI Nathan 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
46 MOSKOWITZ Martin 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
47 ANAFI Ari - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
48 AHMED Mohsen - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
49 LEE DoWon 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
49 HELMY Richard 2% 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
51 EVANS Joseph 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
52 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
53 KAPLAN Maddox 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% - -
54 HEGLAND Grady 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
55 LEE Anton 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
56 NALLICHERI Ayaan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
57 LI Jade - 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
58 ZHANG Jonathan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
59 WU Jerry 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
60 GAO Victor 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
61 WHEELER Jackson 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
62 MILINKOVIC Maksim 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
63 MALHAM Andrew 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
64 WEHMEYER Devin 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
65 DOUBOV Andrew - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
66 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
67 LAI Boden - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
68 EMMERT JP - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
69 HOWARD Jackson 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
70 CUELLAR Markus 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
71 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 3% 26% 42% 24% 5% - -
72 NG Nico 3% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
73 ZHAO Pierce 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
74 LIDSKY Phineas - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
75 FRIEDMAN Andres 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
76 VAN DOREN William 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
77 FANG Zekai 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
78 MA YIXING (Tiger) 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
79 SUN Lucas 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 2% -
80 KIM Zac 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
81 TIFFANY Maxim 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
82 NILSEN Mark 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
83 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
84 YANG Alex 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
85 CHEN Edward 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
86 RAMEY Daylon 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
87 CUMMINGS Owen 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
88 ZHANG Jason 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
89 WITHERELL Logan 44% 42% 12% 1% - - -
90 LEE Henry 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
91 OSHIMA Robert 16% 45% 30% 7% 1% - -
92 HEISLER Maxfield 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
93 KOGAN Yelisey L. 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
93 LYCHKO Maksym 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
93 YIN Chujun 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
96 YU David 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
97 ZUCKER Joshua L. 71% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.