Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
2 SETO Jing 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
3 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
3 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
5 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
7 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
8 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
9 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
10 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
11 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
12 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
13 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
14 LI Morgan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
15 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
16 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
17 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
18 LI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
19 SIALA Omar 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
20 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
21 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
22 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
22 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
24 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
25 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
26 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
27 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
28 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
29 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
30 RIM Eugene 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
31 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
32 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
33 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 4%
34 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
35 LIU Adam 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
36 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
37 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
38 YU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
39 TATE William Isom 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
40 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
41 RVACHEV Michael 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
42 SHA Michael 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 2%
43 SONG Changze 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
44 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
45 YI Nathan 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
46 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2%
47 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
48 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
49 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
49 HELMY Richard 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
51 EVANS Joseph 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
52 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
53 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
54 HEGLAND Grady 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
55 LEE Anton 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
56 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
57 LI Jade 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
58 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
59 WU Jerry 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
60 GAO Victor 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
61 WHEELER Jackson 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
62 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
63 MALHAM Andrew 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
64 WEHMEYER Devin 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
65 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
66 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
67 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
68 EMMERT JP 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
69 HOWARD Jackson 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
70 CUELLAR Markus 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
71 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
72 NG Nico 100% 97% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
73 ZHAO Pierce 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
74 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
75 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
76 VAN DOREN William 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
77 FANG Zekai 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
78 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
79 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
80 KIM Zac 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
81 TIFFANY Maxim 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
82 NILSEN Mark 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
83 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
84 YANG Alex 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
85 CHEN Edward 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
86 RAMEY Daylon 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% - -
87 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
88 ZHANG Jason 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
89 WITHERELL Logan 100% 56% 14% 1% - - -
90 LEE Henry 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
91 OSHIMA Robert 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% - -
92 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
93 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
93 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
93 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
96 YU David 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
97 ZUCKER Joshua L. 100% 29% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.