Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANN Jake R. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 SVERDLOV Seth - - - 2% 15% 46% 37%
3 CHEN Brian - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
3 DOUBOV Andrew - - 4% 18% 39% 31% 8%
5 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - - 3% 24% 73%
6 ZHAO Zidong - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
7 LI Jade - 3% 18% 41% 34% 5%
8 BRADSHAW Carter 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
9 LEE JoonWon - - - 4% 23% 47% 25%
9 CHEMEZOV Trent - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
11 HU Robert J. - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
12 JORDAN Anton - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
13 TIKHONOV Ilia - 3% 19% 45% 32%
14 PETROW Zoryan - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
15 YI Nathan - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 2%
16 DUAN Eric - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
17 DAVIDENKO Alexander - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
18 TIKHONOV Daniel - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
19 CHUNG Andrew - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
20 TATE William Isom - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
21 SU Caleb - - - - 3% 23% 74%
22 JEONG Arisu - 1% 10% 32% 40% 15% 2%
23 CHEN YiHeng - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
24 BUI Henry - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
25 MEGGERS Davin 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
26 LEE Aiden - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
27 RUSSELL James 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
28 NALLICHERI Ayaan 27% 48% 22% 3% -
29 LEE DoWon 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 2%
30 YU Samuel - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 11%
31 WONG King-Yee 2% 18% 42% 31% 7%
32 YANG Alex 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
33 ARMSTRONG TyLee 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
34 LEE Aiden 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
35 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
36 YIN Chujun - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
37 KIM Joshua - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
38 LIDSKY Phineas - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
39 XIE Brandon 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
40 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
41 SAUNIER Cameron - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
42 MODULLA Yathin R. - 6% 29% 45% 20%
43 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
44 MODANLOU Navid - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
45 NOLAN Tyler 1% 8% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
46 RIM Eugene - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
47 YU Jason - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
48 LEE Anton 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
49 JONES Jackson 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
50 MOORE Alexander - 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
51 WANG Kaiyan 1% 10% 32% 40% 17% 1%
52 KONG Brandon 4% 21% 40% 28% 7% -
53 RAPALSKI Thomas - 4% 22% 42% 26% 5% -
54 LEECH Braedan 33% 46% 18% 3% -
55 MUMMIDI Rishi 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
56 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
57 KIM Gene 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
58 KIM Zac 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
59 WATERS Nathaniel 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
60 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 11% 41% 35% 12% 2% - -
61 CLICK Tristan - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
62 ZHU Aaron 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
63 WANG Aiden 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
64 CUELLAR Markus 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
65 SUH Aiden 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
66 WANG Marcus - 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
67 KE Sebastian 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
68 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
69 LIN Haley 2% 15% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
71 LORENZ Nathan 27% 44% 23% 5% - -
72 ADDYSON Aidan 16% 44% 31% 9% 1% -
73 KLINKENBERG Patrick 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
74 CUMMINGS Owen 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% -
75 YAP Nathan 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
76 CHENH Justin 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
78 DURAN Sevan Sebastian 37% 49% 13% 1% - - -
79 MAXWELL Sheito 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
80 PERI Mourya 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
80 URIA Sullivan 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
82 ZHOU alex 3% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
83 CUTHBERTSON Dax 22% 49% 24% 4% - - -
84 FENG Xinmin 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
85 STEPANIAN George 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
85 KARLEKAR Veer 20% 46% 26% 6% 1% - -
87 SZIEDE Kieran 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
88 RAMEY Daylon 44% 42% 12% 2% - -
89 DAVIS Jack 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
90 STRAFFORD Andrew 43% 43% 12% 1% - - -
90 SARICH John F 15% 48% 29% 7% 1% - -
92 MACTOUGH Ben 37% 49% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.