Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
3 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
5 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 ZHAO Zidong 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
7 LI Jade 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 5%
8 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
9 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
9 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
11 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
12 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
13 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
14 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 10%
15 YI Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 2%
16 DUAN Eric 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
17 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
18 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
19 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
20 TATE William Isom 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
21 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
22 JEONG Arisu 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 2%
23 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
24 BUI Henry 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
25 MEGGERS Davin 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
26 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
27 RUSSELL James 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
28 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 73% 25% 4% -
29 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
30 YU Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
31 WONG King-Yee 100% 98% 80% 38% 7%
32 YANG Alex 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
33 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
34 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
35 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
36 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% -
37 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
38 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
39 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
40 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
41 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
42 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
43 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
44 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
45 NOLAN Tyler 100% 99% 92% 57% 19% 3% -
46 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
47 YU Jason 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 19% 1%
48 LEE Anton 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
49 JONES Jackson 100% 99% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
50 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
51 WANG Kaiyan 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 1%
52 KONG Brandon 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% -
53 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
54 LEECH Braedan 100% 67% 21% 3% -
55 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
56 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
57 KIM Gene 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
58 KIM Zac 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
59 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
60 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
61 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
62 ZHU Aaron 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
63 WANG Aiden 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
64 CUELLAR Markus 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
65 SUH Aiden 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
66 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1%
67 KE Sebastian 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1%
68 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
69 LIN Haley 100% 98% 83% 43% 10% 1% -
71 LORENZ Nathan 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
72 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
73 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
74 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
75 YAP Nathan 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1%
76 CHENH Justin 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
78 DURAN Sevan Sebastian 100% 63% 15% 1% - - -
79 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
80 PERI Mourya 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
80 URIA Sullivan 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
82 ZHOU alex 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
83 CUTHBERTSON Dax 100% 78% 29% 5% - - -
84 FENG Xinmin 100% 58% 14% 2% - - -
85 STEPANIAN George 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
85 KARLEKAR Veer 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
87 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
88 RAMEY Daylon 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
89 DAVIS Jack 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
90 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -
90 SARICH John F 100% 85% 37% 8% 1% - -
92 MACTOUGH Ben 100% 63% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.