Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIDSKY Phineas - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
2 LEE Aiden - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
3 KIM Gene - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
5 LEE Aiden - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
6 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - 1% 12% 45% 42%
7 LIN Haley 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
8 JEONG Arisu - 1% 10% 34% 42% 13%
9 SAUNIER Cameron - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
10 KIM Joshua - - 3% 20% 50% 27%
11 MOORE Alexander 1% 13% 40% 38% 8%
12 YI Nathan - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
13 MAKOLO Hudson - 6% 24% 38% 25% 5%
14 BUI Henry - 1% 9% 37% 53%
15 WANG Kaiyan 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
16 LEE Anton - 6% 30% 45% 18%
17 BRADSHAW Carter - 2% 14% 44% 40%
18 CUELLAR Markus 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
19 LI Jade - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
20 PENG Yue - 1% 9% 31% 44% 15%
21 CHA Patrick 1% 18% 47% 33%
22 ARMSTRONG TyLee 3% 26% 48% 23%
23 LEE DoWon - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 21%
24 SUH Aiden 9% 41% 39% 10%
25 JOHNSON Dieko - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
26 KROPP Wesley 2% 16% 43% 33% 6%
27 MEDISETTI Arjun 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
28 LEECH Braedan 1% 8% 31% 40% 19% 3%
29 SALLAI Abel 32% 46% 19% 3% -
30 BENUCCI Vincent 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
31 KE Sebastian - 5% 23% 38% 27% 6%
32 BENNETT Pierce 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
33 KONG Brandon 1% 10% 35% 38% 14% 2%
34 CHANEY Charles 3% 21% 44% 27% 5%
35 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
36 CUTHBERTSON Dax 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
37 CHAN Ian 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
38 MASSIE Jay 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
40 NOLAN Tyler 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
41 SCHULMAN Max 5% 26% 41% 24% 4% -
42 WANG Marcus 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
43 KENDLER Micah 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
44 FENG Xinmin 30% 48% 19% 3% - -
45 RAMEY Daylon 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
46 HALE Bradley 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
47 MAXWELL Sheito 43% 43% 13% 1% -
48 BAYUS Oliver 60% 34% 6% -
49 MCCABE Kian 4% 24% 41% 26% 5% -
50 PERI Mourya 33% 46% 18% 3% - -
51 STRAFFORD Andrew 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
51 KARLEKAR Veer 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
53 WU Jiachen 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
54 ALLEN Davis 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
55 STEPANIAN George 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
56 ALPSOY Emir 27% 48% 22% 3% -
57 BANG Dylan 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
58 KONG Ethan 19% 47% 28% 6% -
59 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.