Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
2 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
5 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
6 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42%
7 LIN Haley 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
8 JEONG Arisu 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13%
9 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
10 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 27%
11 MOORE Alexander 100% 98% 85% 44% 8%
12 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
13 MAKOLO Hudson 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
14 BUI Henry 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
15 WANG Kaiyan 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
16 LEE Anton 100% 100% 93% 63% 18%
17 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
18 CUELLAR Markus 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
19 LI Jade 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
20 PENG Yue 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
21 CHA Patrick 100% 99% 80% 33%
22 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 97% 70% 22%
23 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
24 SUH Aiden 100% 91% 50% 10%
25 JOHNSON Dieko 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
26 KROPP Wesley 100% 98% 80% 38% 6%
27 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
28 LEECH Braedan 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 3%
29 SALLAI Abel 100% 74% 28% 4% -
30 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% -
31 KE Sebastian 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
32 BENNETT Pierce 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
33 KONG Brandon 100% 99% 88% 51% 14% 1%
34 CHANEY Charles 100% 97% 78% 34% 5%
35 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
36 CUTHBERTSON Dax 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
37 CHAN Ian 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
38 MASSIE Jay 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
40 NOLAN Tyler 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
41 SCHULMAN Max 100% 95% 69% 28% 4% -
42 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
43 KENDLER Micah 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
44 FENG Xinmin 100% 71% 23% 3% - -
45 RAMEY Daylon 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
46 HALE Bradley 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
47 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 57% 14% 1% -
48 BAYUS Oliver 100% 41% 7% -
49 MCCABE Kian 100% 96% 72% 31% 5% -
50 PERI Mourya 100% 67% 20% 3% - -
51 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
51 KARLEKAR Veer 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
53 WU Jiachen 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
54 ALLEN Davis 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
55 STEPANIAN George 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
56 ALPSOY Emir 100% 70% 24% 3% -
57 BANG Dylan 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
58 KONG Ethan 100% 81% 33% 6% -
59 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.