National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Hanson - - - - 5% 95%
2 GE Felix Fei - - - - 3% 23% 74%
3 ZHAO Nathan - - - - 3% 23% 75%
3 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - - 1% 11% 89%
5 FUKUDA Brando - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
6 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
6 LEE Jaden - - - - 4% 27% 69%
8 CHANG Jeremy - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
9 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - - - 4% 29% 67%
10 YEE Colin - - - 4% 17% 40% 38%
11 OH Christopher - - - 5% 23% 44% 29%
12 LI Lucas - - - - 5% 30% 65%
13 ZHOU Shawn - - - - 3% 25% 72%
13 DESERANNO Leander - - - - 3% 26% 71%
15 KINGSLEY Griffin - - 4% 23% 44% 28%
16 SUN Roy - - 1% 9% 32% 46% 11%
17 QIAN Will - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
18 LEE Abin - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
19 JIN Daniel - - - 3% 16% 44% 37%
20 XIAN kevin - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
21 CHANG Parker - - - 2% 16% 47% 36%
22 KIM Daniel - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
23 GUO Austin - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
24 HUYNH Matthew - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
25 JIN George - 1% 9% 30% 40% 20%
26 GANAPATHI Eshan - 3% 19% 41% 32% 5%
27 RAU Shogun - - 2% 10% 30% 43% 16%
28 LI Jayden - - 3% 15% 37% 34% 10%
29 HO Christopher - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 4%
30 TANG Brayden - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
31 ZHAI Alex - 1% 9% 34% 44% 12%
32 RICHARDS Zwannah - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
33 TANG Royce - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
34 HOU Gaven - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
35 ALCAZAREN Cian 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
36 HU Michael - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
37 YE Jerry - - 3% 13% 33% 36% 15%
37 WU Wallace - - - - 4% 30% 65%
39 WANG Mendy - - - 5% 21% 44% 29%
40 YANG Tate - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
40 ZHENG Jonathan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
42 ULYSSE Jacob - - 5% 20% 39% 31% 6%
43 PARK Andrew - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
43 BEDWORTH Alistair - - 4% 20% 38% 31% 7%
45 SHAW eric - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
46 RYU GREYSON - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19% 2%
47 PAN Ethan - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
48 LIU Alex - - 1% 5% 22% 45% 27%
49 POST Bentley - 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% -
50 HE Ian - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
51 EVANS Desmond - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
52 LU Hansen - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
53 ZHANG Ethan - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
54 YANG Charles - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
54 HONG Edwin - - - 3% 20% 48% 29%
56 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
57 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 3%
57 LU Brandon - - 4% 16% 35% 35% 10%
59 WANG Freyr 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
60 CZARNECKI Thomas - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 20%
61 ROPER Griffin - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
62 ZENG Albert - 2% 15% 38% 35% 10%
63 CHOI Hunter 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 4%
64 DING Sam 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
65 LIM EUNSEONG - - - - 6% 31% 63%
66 ZHAI Derrick - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
67 PLUMMER Waylon - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
68 CAO Joshua - 1% 9% 32% 42% 15%
69 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
70 SUSANTO William - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 26%
71 SONG Enoch - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
72 YANG Steve - - 3% 19% 41% 31% 5%
73 KUBBA Krish - 5% 23% 38% 27% 6% -
74 WANG Caleb - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
74 PESKIN Kepler - 6% 26% 43% 24% -
76 SLAIN Owen - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
77 QIAN Zekai - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 3%
78 REN Ryan - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
79 NOVIKOV Yann - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
80 KUANG Vincent - 5% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
81 SUAREZ Lucas - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
82 SHOU Raymond - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
83 DIFRANK Avery - 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
84 KIM Parker 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
85 QIAN Henry - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
86 ZHENG Lerui - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 4%
86 CHUNG Royce 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
88 TIAN Dylan 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
89 XIE Jayden - - 3% 15% 39% 37% 6%
89 VENAFRO Tristan - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
91 ZHAO Jason - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
91 WU Alexander 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
93 LI Aaron 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
94 LIU Jeremy 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
94 LI Andrew 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
96 TAN Alan 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
97 ROBERTS Nikolai - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
97 LI Yunze 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
99 GRIGORIEV Michael - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
100 XU Ethan 1% 7% 28% 43% 22% -
101 ZENG Alex - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
102 TAN Charlie - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
103 KEEGAN Cole - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
104 ZHAO David 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 2%
105 FREL Vincent 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
106 WU David 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
107 GU Evan 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
108 YANG Luca - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
109 PARK Avan - - 5% 21% 40% 30% 4%
109 TARCHICHI Daniel - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
109 HUANG Marcus 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
112 YU Jinyuan 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
113 HE Gary 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
114 DANTON Ryan 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10% 1%
114 NEMI Vin 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
116 TIAN Andy 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
117 SHARMA Ari - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
118 GUGALA Frank - 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 2%
119 MENG Andy 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
120 ZHANG Aaron 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
121 DALAL Amitav 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
122 LI Andy 1% 8% 33% 41% 16% 2%
123 MAO Runxian - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
124 CHONG Cooper 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
125 CRONK Trevor 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
126 HUYNH Kaleb 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
127 SUN Oliver 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
128 MOON Nolan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
129 MAZAHERI John - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
130 HUANG Dalynn - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 5%
131 WENGER Rowan 1% 12% 38% 37% 11% 1%
132 MURDOCK Koichi - 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 2%
133 ZHANG Leo 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
134 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
135 RAY Callum 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
136 SHENOY sean 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
137 KUPERBERG Thomas - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 2%
138 CREMEL Remi - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
139 LEE Kyle - 4% 18% 35% 30% 10% 1%
140 JIAO Daniel - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
141 LIN Lucas 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
142 MCCOOL Henry 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
143 JUE Lucas 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
144 KWONG Colin 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
145 SUN Lucas 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
146 MORALES Tycho 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
147 WILSON Jacob 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
148 HO Cameron 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
149 PACK Lindsey - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7% 1%
150 CHEN Keegan 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
150 DHALIWAL Zorawar Singh 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
152 LEE Conrad - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
153 XU Jason - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
154 SAVAGE Angus - 4% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
155 ZHANG Eric 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
156 HUANG Jinyao - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
157 ROBERTSON Liam 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
158 SINGH Reyaansh 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
159 BAIER Leon 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
160 MONDESIR Chace 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
161 KUTATELADZE Danieli 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
162 ROSOWSKY Phoenix 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
163 DENG Jonathan - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
164 AMR HOSSNY Adam - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
165 HUA Isaac 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
166 YAN Aaron 13% 39% 34% 13% 2% - -
167 SUN Ethan 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
168 CANTU Gabriel 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
169 MADDES Gage - 10% 32% 37% 18% 3%
170 HUDSON Arav 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
171 XIA Vincent 1% 11% 36% 37% 13% 2%
172 UNTEREKER Billy 13% 39% 35% 12% 1% -
173 GRIFFIN Andrew 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
174 TEOH Liam 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
175 YIN Luke 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
176 LIN Sampson 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
177 HUANG Anthony 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
178 GLODE Russell - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
179 MOORE Quinn 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
180 WILLIAMS Thomas 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
181 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
182 WU Connor 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
183 LIN Conrad 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
184 SU Sean 1% 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
185 WONG Connor 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
185 MAZAHERI Theodore 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
187 SHEN Lucas 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
188 LEVKOVICH Avery 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
189 CHEN Kevin 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
190 PALMERKLEIN Justin 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
191 DENG Albert 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
192 HARDWICK Alex 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
193 TAN benjamin 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
194 WU Max 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
195 JORGE Elijah - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
195 HUANG Owen 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
197 LIGERET Leo 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
198 HOLLANDER Max - 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 1%
199 HUANG Lucas - 4% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
200 MCERLEAN Liam 21% 47% 26% 6% - -
201 CABATO Luca 48% 41% 10% 1% - -
202 CAO Aaron 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
203 LIM Derek 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
204 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 24% 47% 25% 5% - -
205 LI Alex 4% 32% 40% 19% 4% -
205 CROSSETT Peter 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% -
207 JUVVADI Pratham 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
208 CHANG Joshua 34% 45% 18% 3% - -
208 BODNER Nicholas 3% 21% 42% 26% 6% 1%
210 IM Andrew 36% 45% 16% 3% - -
211 MENG Eric 13% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
212 ROUS Miguel - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
213 PAYNE Lynas 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
214 TOYOFUKU Lucas 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
215 LI Lief 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
216 CHEN Evan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
218 LEE Ryan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
219 SHA Lambor（Laien) 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
220 CHEUNG Henry 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
221 SINGH Jai Anand 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
221 GENG Vincent 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
221 DAVE Neil 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
224 HWANG Jasper 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
224 HSU Liam 68% 28% 4% - - - -
226 BRADY David 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
227 KALINA Levi 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
227 LIN Dylan 4% 23% 42% 25% 6% - -
229 XU ETHAN 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
229 RITTER Nathan D. 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
231 NGUYEN Nolan 52% 39% 9% 1% - -
231 KOVALEV Maxim 4% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1% -
233 LIU Mason 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
233 WONG Sebastian 38% 44% 15% 2% - - -
235 PARK Nathan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
236 HOARE Gabriel 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
236 HALLETTMANES Ezra 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
236 XUE Lucas 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
239 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
240 LEONG Michael 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
240 LALONDE Oscar 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
242 BROWN Rhys 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
242 SHENOY Neil 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
244 RYU Griffin 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
244 SNYDER Winston 13% 43% 32% 10% 1% -
246 FANG Ryan 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
247 LIU Aiden 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
248 HWANG Alexander 20% 49% 26% 5% - -
249 FANG Lionel 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
250 MEI Edan 74% 23% 3% - - -
251 HOFFMAN Zane 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
252 LIN Stewart 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
253 SERBAN Aaron 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
253 KRESS Elias 35% 43% 18% 4% - - -
255 LI Mason 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
256 DEV Vivaan 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
257 YANG Crescent 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
257 NGO Lincoln 48% 40% 10% 1% - - -
259 GADDY Lachlan 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
260 MANANSALA Caleb 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
260 TAGORE Ayansh 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
262 SHAH Aadi 43% 43% 12% 1% - -
263 KAJITA Grayson 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
263 THIMIRI Trishaan 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
265 ZHAO Ethan 35% 45% 18% 3% - - -
266 HONG Thomas 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
267 LIM Cayden 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
268 WANG Grant 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
268 NAYAK Saideep 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
270 LITVACK Jackson 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
271 CHOE Austin 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.