National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
2 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
3 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89%
5 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
6 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
6 LEE Jaden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
8 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
9 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
10 YEE Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38%
11 OH Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
12 LI Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
13 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
13 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
15 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
16 SUN Roy 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 11%
17 QIAN Will 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
18 LEE Abin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
19 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
20 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
21 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
22 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
23 GUO Austin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
24 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
25 JIN George 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
26 GANAPATHI Eshan 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 5%
27 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 16%
28 LI Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
29 HO Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 4%
30 TANG Brayden 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
31 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 12%
32 RICHARDS Zwannah 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
33 TANG Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
34 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
35 ALCAZAREN Cian 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
36 HU Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
37 YE Jerry 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
37 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
39 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
40 YANG Tate 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
40 ZHENG Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
42 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
43 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
43 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
45 SHAW eric 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
46 RYU GREYSON 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 2%
47 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
48 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
49 POST Bentley 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
50 HE Ian 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
51 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
52 LU Hansen 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
53 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
54 YANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
54 HONG Edwin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 29%
56 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
57 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3%
57 LU Brandon 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
59 WANG Freyr 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
60 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 20%
61 ROPER Griffin 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
62 ZENG Albert 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
63 CHOI Hunter 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
64 DING Sam 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
65 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
66 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
67 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
68 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
69 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 7% 1%
70 SUSANTO William 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
71 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
72 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 5%
73 KUBBA Krish 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6% -
74 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
74 PESKIN Kepler 100% 100% 93% 68% 24% -
76 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
77 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 3%
78 REN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
79 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
80 KUANG Vincent 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
81 SUAREZ Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
82 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
83 DIFRANK Avery 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 2%
84 KIM Parker 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
85 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
86 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
86 CHUNG Royce 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
88 TIAN Dylan 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3% -
89 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 6%
89 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 54% 15%
91 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
91 WU Alexander 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
93 LI Aaron 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
94 LIU Jeremy 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
94 LI Andrew 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
96 TAN Alan 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
97 ROBERTS Nikolai 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
97 LI Yunze 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
99 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
100 XU Ethan 100% 99% 92% 65% 22% -
101 ZENG Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
102 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
103 KEEGAN Cole 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
104 ZHAO David 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
105 FREL Vincent 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
106 WU David 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
107 GU Evan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
108 YANG Luca 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
109 PARK Avan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 4%
109 TARCHICHI Daniel 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
109 HUANG Marcus 100% 96% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
112 YU Jinyuan 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
113 HE Gary 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
114 DANTON Ryan 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11% 1%
114 NEMI Vin 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
116 TIAN Andy 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
117 SHARMA Ari 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
118 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
119 MENG Andy 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
120 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
121 DALAL Amitav 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
122 LI Andy 100% 99% 91% 58% 18% 2%
123 MAO Runxian 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
124 CHONG Cooper 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
125 CRONK Trevor 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
126 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
127 SUN Oliver 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
128 MOON Nolan 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
129 MAZAHERI John 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
130 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
131 WENGER Rowan 100% 99% 87% 49% 12% 1%
132 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24% 2%
133 ZHANG Leo 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
134 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
135 RAY Callum 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
136 SHENOY sean 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
137 KUPERBERG Thomas 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
138 CREMEL Remi 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
139 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
140 JIAO Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
141 LIN Lucas 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
142 MCCOOL Henry 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
143 JUE Lucas 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
144 KWONG Colin 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
145 SUN Lucas 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
146 MORALES Tycho 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
147 WILSON Jacob 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
148 HO Cameron 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
149 PACK Lindsey 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7% 1%
150 CHEN Keegan 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
150 DHALIWAL Zorawar Singh 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
152 LEE Conrad 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18% 1%
153 XU Jason 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
154 SAVAGE Angus 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
155 ZHANG Eric 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
156 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
157 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% - -
158 SINGH Reyaansh 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
159 BAIER Leon 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
160 MONDESIR Chace 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
161 KUTATELADZE Danieli 100% 96% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
162 ROSOWSKY Phoenix 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
163 DENG Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
164 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
165 HUA Isaac 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
166 YAN Aaron 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
167 SUN Ethan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
168 CANTU Gabriel 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
169 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 90% 58% 21% 3%
170 HUDSON Arav 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
171 XIA Vincent 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2%
172 UNTEREKER Billy 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% -
173 GRIFFIN Andrew 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
174 TEOH Liam 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
175 YIN Luke 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
176 LIN Sampson 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6% -
177 HUANG Anthony 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
178 GLODE Russell 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
179 MOORE Quinn 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
180 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
181 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
182 WU Connor 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
183 LIN Conrad 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
184 SU Sean 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
185 WONG Connor 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
185 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 98% 83% 53% 20% 3% -
187 SHEN Lucas 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
188 LEVKOVICH Avery 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
189 CHEN Kevin 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% - -
190 PALMERKLEIN Justin 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
191 DENG Albert 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
192 HARDWICK Alex 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
193 TAN benjamin 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
194 WU Max 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
195 JORGE Elijah 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15% 1%
195 HUANG Owen 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
197 LIGERET Leo 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
198 HOLLANDER Max 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 1%
199 HUANG Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
200 MCERLEAN Liam 100% 79% 33% 6% 1% -
201 CABATO Luca 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
202 CAO Aaron 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
203 LIM Derek 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
204 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 100% 76% 30% 5% - -
205 LI Alex 100% 96% 64% 24% 4% -
205 CROSSETT Peter 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
207 JUVVADI Pratham 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% -
208 CHANG Joshua 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
208 BODNER Nicholas 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1%
210 IM Andrew 100% 64% 19% 3% - -
211 MENG Eric 100% 87% 48% 15% 3% - -
212 ROUS Miguel 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
213 PAYNE Lynas 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
214 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
215 LI Lief 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
216 CHEN Evan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
218 LEE Ryan 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
219 SHA Lambor(Laien) 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
220 CHEUNG Henry 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
221 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
221 GENG Vincent 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
221 DAVE Neil 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
224 HWANG Jasper 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
224 HSU Liam 100% 32% 4% - - - -
226 BRADY David 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
227 KALINA Levi 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
227 LIN Dylan 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% - -
229 XU ETHAN 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
229 RITTER Nathan D. 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
231 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
231 KOVALEV Maxim 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
233 LIU Mason 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
233 WONG Sebastian 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
235 PARK Nathan 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
236 HOARE Gabriel 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
236 HALLETTMANES Ezra 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
236 XUE Lucas 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
239 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
240 LEONG Michael 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
240 LALONDE Oscar 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
242 BROWN Rhys 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
242 SHENOY Neil 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
244 RYU Griffin 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 1% -
244 SNYDER Winston 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
246 FANG Ryan 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
247 LIU Aiden 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
248 HWANG Alexander 100% 80% 31% 5% - -
249 FANG Lionel 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
250 MEI Edan 100% 26% 3% - - -
251 HOFFMAN Zane 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
252 LIN Stewart 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
253 SERBAN Aaron 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
253 KRESS Elias 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
255 LI Mason 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
256 DEV Vivaan 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
257 YANG Crescent 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
257 NGO Lincoln 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
259 GADDY Lachlan 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
260 MANANSALA Caleb 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
260 TAGORE Ayansh 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
262 SHAH Aadi 100% 57% 13% 1% - -
263 KAJITA Grayson 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
263 THIMIRI Trishaan 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
265 ZHAO Ethan 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
266 HONG Thomas 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
267 LIM Cayden 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
268 WANG Grant 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
268 NAYAK Saideep 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
270 LITVACK Jackson 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
271 CHOE Austin 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.