Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 18%
2 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
3 CHU Theodore 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
5 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
7 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
8 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 11%
9 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8% 1%
10 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
11 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
12 HERBRANDSON Luke 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
13 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
14 MCLAREN Mason 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
15 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
16 KIM Remington 100% 87% 46% 8% 1% - -
17 KIM Alexander 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
18 WU Steven 100% 98% 79% 39% 8% < 1%
19 SANKEY Levi 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
20 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 100% 95% 63% 21% 3%
21 WONG Baron 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
22 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
23 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
24 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
25 YU Austin 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
26 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
27 ONG Jee Ken 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
28 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
29 WANG owen 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
30 GACIOCH Noah 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
31 LOUIE Joseph 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
32 SIM Ian 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
33 LI Ethan R. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
34 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 27%
35 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
36 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
37 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
38 BARRAZA Eduardo 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
39 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 1% -
40 LITTLE Alex 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
41 VOO Lucas 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
42 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
43 LEHNER Brian 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
44 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
45 CHANG Andrew 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
46 DILLON Anik 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
47 LEE Royce 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
48 CHOI JJ 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
49 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
50 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
51 KIM Ian 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
52 WALLAK Jesse J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
52 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
54 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
55 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% -
56 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
57 ZHANG Austin 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
58 MARTIN zachary 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
59 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
59 ZAROTSKY Ronald 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
61 SANKEY Luka 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
62 LIANG Donny 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 1% -
63 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
64 SCHWENK Cody D. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
65 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
66 COLLINS Vernon 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
67 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% 3%
68 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 36% 7%
69 MAXU Tiger 100% 98% 76% 36% 8% 1% -
70 MENG Haoyi 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% - -
71 SAHAGIAN Izzy C. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
72 LAURSEN Logan 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
73 CHENG Trevor 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
74 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
75 CHEW Aedan 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
76 NIXON Mark 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
77 DU Yiwei 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
78 YOUNG Quentin 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
79 GADHVI Darius 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
79 BERTEL Florian 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
81 GOROZA Eric 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
82 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
83 SUROV Alexander 100% 82% 35% 4% - - -
84 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
85 MANDEL Christian 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 3% -
86 WILLIAMS Timothy 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% 1%
87 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 43%
88 XU Che 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
89 KRUGER Mark 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
90 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 20% 1% - - - -
91 ANDERSON Donald 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% - -
92 COLE Perrin 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
93 LI Sean 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
93 DENG Destin 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
95 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 32% 4% - - -
96 CHAO Warren 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
96 MARTIN Lucas 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
98 QIAN Zhixu 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -
99 DENG Andes 100% 27% 3% - - - -
100 BRACCO Cameron 100% 63% 17% 1% - - -
101 XUE Chenming 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.