Air Force ROC (D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHIEK Harrison - 2% 14% 36% 36% 13%
2 MORIN-JIANG Jake 2% 17% 40% 33% 8%
3 KIM Jayden - - 4% 22% 47% 27%
3 DHAL Leon - - - 3% 21% 48% 28%
5 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
6 LI Ethan R. - - 1% 8% 31% 47% 13%
7 CHOI Kaiden I. - 2% 17% 43% 38%
8 LI Grayson 3% 23% 42% 26% 5%
9 BOUDREAUX James - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
10 LIU Josh 1% 9% 32% 40% 15% 2%
11 MUENKE Magnus - 3% 18% 38% 32% 10%
12 PETERSON Matthew - 3% 18% 44% 35%
13 GUO Woody - 5% 21% 38% 28% 6% -
14 MEHROTRA Neel - - 3% 20% 44% 30% 2%
15 RICHARD silas - 1% 12% 34% 38% 15%
16 ELLISON Harper F. - - - 2% 17% 46% 34%
17 HENSLEY Roran - 1% 16% 43% 32% 8% -
18 KARNAS Karol - - - - 4% 32% 63%
19 XU Thomas - - 5% 25% 45% 22% 3%
20 GONZALEZ Kian - - 4% 24% 45% 26% 2%
21 SIM Ian 3% 24% 42% 26% 5%
22 GADBURY Logan - 4% 22% 44% 25% 5% -
23 COLEMAN Ian 1% 10% 34% 40% 14%
24 KENT V David - 6% 27% 39% 23% 5%
25 MARENCIK Miles 4% 24% 42% 24% 5% -
26 LEE Jayden J. 4% 27% 42% 24% 4%
27 MARTEGANI Enea 47% 40% 11% 1% -
28 DENG Destin 19% 44% 30% 7% 1% -
30 SCHWITZER Eliot 10% 38% 37% 13% 1%
31 YAO Tristan 56% 36% 8% 1% -
31 COSGROVE Franklin 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
33 MCALVANY Dashel 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
34 DEAN Samuel 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% - -
35 REID Wesley 6% 45% 36% 11% 2% -
36 EMERSON Zachary - 7% 44% 37% 10% 1% -
37 DAVIDSON James 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
38 MESSENGER Niko 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
39 KIM Remington 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2% -
40 DEAN Isaac 43% 50% 7% - - - -
41 GUROLNICK Michael 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
42 WYLIE Luke 11% 39% 38% 11% 1% - -
43 CROY Felix 78% 21% 2% - - -
44 ADAMS Simeon 42% 50% 8% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.