Air Force ROC (D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13%
2 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
3 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
3 DHAL Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 28%
5 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
6 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 13%
7 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
8 LI Grayson 100% 97% 74% 32% 5%
9 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
10 LIU Josh 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2%
11 MUENKE Magnus 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
12 PETERSON Matthew 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
13 GUO Woody 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
14 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 2%
15 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 15%
16 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
17 HENSLEY Roran 100% 100% 99% 82% 40% 8% -
18 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
19 XU Thomas 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25% 3%
20 GONZALEZ Kian 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27% 2%
21 SIM Ian 100% 97% 72% 30% 5%
22 GADBURY Logan 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 5% -
23 COLEMAN Ian 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
24 KENT V David 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
25 MARENCIK Miles 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
26 LEE Jayden J. 100% 96% 69% 28% 4%
27 MARTEGANI Enea 100% 53% 13% 1% -
28 DENG Destin 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
30 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 90% 52% 15% 1%
31 YAO Tristan 100% 44% 9% 1% -
31 COSGROVE Franklin 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
33 MCALVANY Dashel 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
34 DEAN Samuel 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -
35 REID Wesley 100% 94% 49% 13% 2% -
36 EMERSON Zachary 100% 100% 92% 48% 11% 1% -
37 DAVIDSON James 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% - -
38 MESSENGER Niko 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
39 KIM Remington 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2% -
40 DEAN Isaac 100% 57% 7% - - - -
41 GUROLNICK Michael 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
42 WYLIE Luke 100% 89% 50% 12% 1% - -
43 CROY Felix 100% 22% 2% - - -
44 ADAMS Simeon 100% 58% 8% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.