Motor City SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Friday, September 19, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Elite Sportplex - Waterford Township, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 18%
2 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
5 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
6 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 3%
7 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 99% 88% 42% 5%
8 LI Ryan 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
9 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
10 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 19%
11 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 5%
12 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 6%
13 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
14 LIN George 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
15 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
16 WANG Mingcheng 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19% 1%
17 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 20%
18 CHAU Ivan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% < 1%
19 JIN Xueyuan George 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
20 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
21 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 14%
22 MCCOOL Henry 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
23 WANG Jaaziel 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
24 MOON Nolan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
25 XU Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 5%
26 DHALIWAL Zorawar Singh 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
27 HYUN Francis 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
28 JIAO Daniel 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
29 MAZAHERI John 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
30 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 97% 62% 18% 2%
31 SU Aiden 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
32 YU Oliver 100% 100% 97% 66% 21% 2%
33 YIN Andrew 100% 93% 58% 18% 3% -
34 LIU Bradley 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
35 BUCHNER Roland 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
36 XUAN nathan 100% 84% 36% 6% - - -
37 MORALES Tycho 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5% -
38 KANAN Noland 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% -
39 ZHANG Bryson 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
40 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
41 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 38% 2% - - -
42 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
43 LIN Abraham 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
44 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
45 PU Yikun 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
46 NG Chuck 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
47 SIN TaeHwan 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
48 LIM Cayden 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% -
49 CORAN Roland 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
50 BUCHNER Theodore 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
51 LEE Sung-Yull 100% 56% 14% 1% - -
52 PALMERKLEIN Justin 100% 97% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
53 LEE Thomas 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% - -
54 AN Jacob 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
55 BROWN Rhys 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
56 JAGANNATHAN Avi 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
57 CHOU Ryland 100% 71% 11% 1% - -
58 MARVEL Elliot 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
59 LUND Jonah 100% 24% 2% - - -
60 ENOIU Ethan 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
61 VALERI Ryan 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
62 NG Harry 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
62 NETESA Lukian 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
64 SOMAKANDAN Ghuurhu 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.