The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
2 DURKIN Hudson - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
3 MILINKOVIC Maksim - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 4%
3 KIM Henry - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
5 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
6 SOLARZ Arthur - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
7 NG Nico - - 6% 24% 39% 25% 6%
8 CHEN Jayden - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
9 LI Morgan - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
10 CARPENTER Touma S. - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
11 LIU Adam - - - 1% 7% 33% 58%
12 PARKER Isaiah - - - 1% 6% 33% 61%
13 ZHAI Junqi - 1% 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
14 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
15 HELMY Richard - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
16 CHEN Evan - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 GAO Victor - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
18 CHEN Edward - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
19 TARCHICHI Robby - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
20 NOOL Alexander 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
21 LI Ryan 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
22 CUELLAR Markus - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
23 GAO Ryan 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
24 MAKOLO Hudson - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
25 CHEN Tianjun - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
26 TSIEN Richard 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2%
27 WANG-SONG Evan 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
28 LI Ray - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
29 CHO Adrian 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
30 LEE Henry - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
30 LI Terence - 4% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
32 BHANDARE Veer - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
33 LAU LUCAS - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
34 BRESLAV Asher 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
34 KLOTS Theo 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
36 LIU George 4% 24% 40% 24% 7% 1% -
37 WILLIAMS Gavin 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
38 MOZZER Nolan 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
39 CZEPLA Andrew 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
40 NILSEN Mark - 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
41 YU Kenneth 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
42 QI Bryan 18% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
43 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
44 WEISELBERG Mark 5% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
45 CHEN Cameron 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
46 KIM Zac 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
47 TANG Colin 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
48 AU Joshua 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
49 LEE Kalvin 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
50 JOYNER Braylon 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
51 TOPRANI Valmik 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
52 FRIZZELL Kai 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
53 WELCH Sebastian 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
54 SMITH Theo 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
55 SHAPIRO Samuel 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
55 XIE Richard 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
57 CHEN Jayden 12% 43% 35% 10% 1% - -
58 THOMAS Ethan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
59 THOMAS Andrew 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
60 WAGNER Bennett 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
61 WANG Marcus 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
61 WANG Eric 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
63 LEE Ryan 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.