The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
2 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
3 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
3 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
5 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
6 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 3%
7 NG Nico 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
8 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
9 LI Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
10 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
11 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
12 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
13 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
14 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
15 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
16 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
17 GAO Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
18 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
19 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
20 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8% 1%
21 LI Ryan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
22 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
23 GAO Ryan 100% 97% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
24 MAKOLO Hudson 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
25 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1%
26 TSIEN Richard 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
27 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
28 LI Ray 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
29 CHO Adrian 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
30 LEE Henry 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 2%
30 LI Terence 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
32 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
33 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
34 BRESLAV Asher 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
34 KLOTS Theo 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
36 LIU George 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
37 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
38 MOZZER Nolan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
39 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
40 NILSEN Mark 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
41 YU Kenneth 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
42 QI Bryan 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
43 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
44 WEISELBERG Mark 100% 95% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
45 CHEN Cameron 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
46 KIM Zac 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
47 TANG Colin 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
48 AU Joshua 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
49 LEE Kalvin 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
50 JOYNER Braylon 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
51 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
52 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
53 WELCH Sebastian 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
54 SMITH Theo 100% 65% 21% 4% - - -
55 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
55 XIE Richard 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
57 CHEN Jayden 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% - -
58 THOMAS Ethan 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
59 THOMAS Andrew 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
60 WAGNER Bennett 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
61 WANG Marcus 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
61 WANG Eric 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
63 LEE Ryan 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.