Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YASSEEN Mohammed - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
2 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - - 15% 84%
3 RODNEY Adam R. - - - - 1% 16% 84%
3 ROGAK Benjamin A. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
5 SU Caleb - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
6 MANN Jake R. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
7 ROSE-JONES Simon - - - 5% 32% 63%
8 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 3% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1% -
9 HONDOR Robert D. - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
10 SVERDLOV Seth - 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
11 WOLFE Alex - - 5% 27% 48% 20%
12 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
13 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 3% 24% 64% 9%
14 SIYANKO Joshua 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
15 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 1% 8% 35% 46% 10% -
16 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. - - 1% 9% 36% 48% 6%
17 MOORE Shomari A. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
18 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
19 PETERSEN Zachary 10% 42% 38% 10% - -
20 LIOU Solomon - 1% 11% 36% 43% 9%
21 DOLMETSCH Max - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
22 PHO Eric - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
23 SUH Aiden 15% 47% 30% 7% 1% - -
24 REPIC Oliver 1% 8% 32% 42% 16% 2%
25 BUSH Thomas - 3% 16% 38% 36% 8%
26 ACAR Devin 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
27 LEE Benjamin 36% 46% 16% 2% - -
28 MEHROTRA Neel 3% 21% 42% 27% 6% -
29 O'HARROW Tristan C. 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
30 AGGELER Donovan 5% 32% 45% 17% 1% -
31 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. - 7% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
32 EVANS Joseph 25% 47% 23% 4% - -
33 KAPLAN Maddox 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
34 FEINBERG James Y. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
35 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
36 FAICCO Joseph - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9% -
37 SAVORETTI Pietro 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
38 WU Jerry 13% 41% 34% 10% 1% -
39 RATUSHNYI Georgii 2% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
40 AYALA Jaime 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
41 PARKER Isaiah 1% 10% 33% 40% 16% 1%
42 STELTENKAMP Neal 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
43 CHU Brandon A. 2% 17% 42% 31% 7% 1%
44 KOEPPEL Levi E. 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
45 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
46 KIM Zac 48% 39% 12% 1% - -
47 HEISLER Maxfield 64% 31% 5% - - - -
48 LIN Yufei 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
49 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 8% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -
50 STEVENS Owen 56% 37% 6% - - - -
51 DINIO Clara J. 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.