Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YASSEEN Mohammed 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
2 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 84%
3 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
5 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
7 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
8 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
9 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
10 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
11 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 20%
12 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
13 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 9%
14 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
15 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 99% 91% 56% 10% -
16 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 6%
17 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
18 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
19 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 90% 48% 10% - -
20 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 9%
21 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
22 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
23 SUH Aiden 100% 85% 38% 8% 1% - -
24 REPIC Oliver 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 2%
25 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
26 ACAR Devin 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
27 LEE Benjamin 100% 64% 18% 2% - -
28 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 97% 75% 34% 6% -
29 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
30 AGGELER Donovan 100% 95% 62% 18% 1% -
31 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
32 EVANS Joseph 100% 75% 27% 4% - -
33 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
34 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
35 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 94% 65% 26% 4% -
36 FAICCO Joseph 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10% -
37 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2% -
38 WU Jerry 100% 87% 46% 11% 1% -
39 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
40 AYALA Jaime 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
41 PARKER Isaiah 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 1%
42 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
43 CHU Brandon A. 100% 98% 81% 39% 8% 1%
44 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
45 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
46 KIM Zac 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
47 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 35% 5% - - - -
48 LIN Yufei 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
49 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 92% 52% 15% 2% - -
50 STEVENS Owen 100% 44% 7% 1% - - -
51 DINIO Clara J. 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.