Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 GOVOROV Alexander 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
3 HELMY Richard - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
3 ERIKSEN Casey - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
5 THOMAS Andrew 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
6 KUSACTAY Eric 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
7 SUH Aiden - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
8 CHO Adrian 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
9 YANG Alex - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
10 HANNA Alexander 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
11 STEVENS Owen 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
12 ALABI Azryl - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
13 LAU LUCAS - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
14 LYCHKO Maksym - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
15 MANSFIELD Hunter 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
16 SZCZAPA Lukas - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
17 NG Nico - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
18 NABAVI Matthew R. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
19 CHEN Tianjun 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% -
20 KAPLAN Maddox - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
21 ZHAI Junqi - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 19%
22 ZHENG Jason 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
23 EVANS Joseph - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
24 WARD Kofi 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
25 FRIEDMAN Andres 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
26 ASHLEY Logan - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
27 LEE Elijah 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
28 EMMERT JP - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
29 KOGAN Yelisey L. 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% -
30 BHANDARE Veer 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
31 LEE Kalvin 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
32 LEE Kevin 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
33 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
34 REELS Eric J. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
35 ZHANG Jonathan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
35 GAO Ryan 6% 23% 35% 25% 10% 2% -
37 CARPENTER Touma S. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
38 VAN DOREN William 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
39 OTTAVIANO Aaron - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
40 WANG Charles - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
41 KIM Zac 1% 8% 22% 31% 25% 11% 2%
41 GAO "George" Xiaojiang - 2% 10% 24% 33% 24% 7%
43 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
44 FOGEL Jake 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
46 ROBINSON Blake 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
47 CHAU Collin 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% -
48 YU Kenneth 11% 31% 33% 19% 5% 1% -
49 MANTINAOS Constantinos 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
50 ANDERSON Connor 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
51 WANG Marcus 8% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
52 KIRSCH Adam J. - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
52 ANDERSON Eric 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
52 LIU George 2% 15% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
55 FRIZZELL Kai 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
56 WARD Carrington R. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
57 JIANG Aidan 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
58 YU David 4% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
59 AGUIRRE Pablo 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
60 HEISLER Maxfield 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
61 SHAPIRO Samuel 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
62 LAW Oliver 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
63 DINIO Clara J. 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.