Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
3 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
3 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
5 THOMAS Andrew 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
6 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 16% 2%
7 SUH Aiden 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
8 CHO Adrian 100% 95% 75% 43% 15% 3% -
9 YANG Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
10 HANNA Alexander 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
11 STEVENS Owen 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
12 ALABI Azryl 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
13 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
14 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
15 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 99% 92% 72% 41% 14% 2%
16 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
17 NG Nico 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 41% 10%
18 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
19 CHEN Tianjun 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% -
20 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
21 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
22 ZHENG Jason 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
23 EVANS Joseph 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
24 WARD Kofi 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
25 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
26 ASHLEY Logan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
27 LEE Elijah 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
28 EMMERT JP 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
29 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
30 BHANDARE Veer 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
31 LEE Kalvin 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
32 LEE Kevin 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
33 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
34 REELS Eric J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
35 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
35 GAO Ryan 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
37 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
38 VAN DOREN William 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
39 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
40 WANG Charles 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
41 KIM Zac 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
41 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 31% 7%
43 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
44 FOGEL Jake 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
46 ROBINSON Blake 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
47 CHAU Collin 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% -
48 YU Kenneth 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
49 MANTINAOS Constantinos 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
50 ANDERSON Connor 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
51 WANG Marcus 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
52 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
52 ANDERSON Eric 100% 95% 76% 45% 17% 4% -
52 LIU George 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
55 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
56 WARD Carrington R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
57 JIANG Aidan 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
58 YU David 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
59 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
60 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
61 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
62 LAW Oliver 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
63 DINIO Clara J. 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.