October NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Boden - - - 2% 13% 41% 43%
2 KUGLER Luke - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
3 RUBIN Daniel - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
3 KIM Doha - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
5 ZHENG Andy - - - - 1% 17% 82%
6 YUE Hongrui - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
7 CHOI Zachary - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
8 GRAVES Lawson - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
9 MAO Benjamin - - - - 3% 26% 72%
10 TAI Edison - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
11 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
12 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
13 GINZBURG Adam - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
14 SINGH Ravin - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
15 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - - 3% 25% 71%
17 SHAN Simon - - - - 2% 21% 76%
18 HAMZA Tudor - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
19 CHEN Leonardo - - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
20 TRULL A.J. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
21 XIA Dashan - - - 4% 20% 42% 32%
22 LEE Aiden - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 14%
23 WONG Baron - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
24 SHCHUR Grayson - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
25 BOUDREAUX James - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
26 KIM Henry - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
27 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
28 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - 4% 21% 41% 29% 4%
29 BORISENKO Samuel - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
30 DOUBOV Andrew - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
31 MIZRAHI Michael - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
32 LI Yunji (Rain) - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
33 HU Lucas - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
34 LEE Aiden - - 5% 22% 45% 27%
35 LAM Alan - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
36 TSE Maxwell - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
37 ZIEGLER John - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
37 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
39 MITEV Alexander - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
40 ADDLEMAN Joshua - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
41 WU Steven - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
41 CHEN zhuoyang - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
43 ALI Farhan - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
44 KARIMOV Amir - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
45 WANG Joey - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
46 NORMILE Nicholas - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
47 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
48 LI Tristan - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
49 LIU Yueri - - - 5% 22% 45% 28%
49 CHA Patrick 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
51 CAFASSO Alexander 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
52 NAEMI Barsam 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
52 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
54 KIM Jayden - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
55 MEHROTRA Neel - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
56 RONG Gordon - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
57 MARENCIK Miles 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
58 KIM Ian - 9% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
59 KANG Taewoo - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 16%
60 MORIN-JIANG Jake - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
61 YANG Gary - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
62 HELMY Richard 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
63 PARK Sangwook - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15%
64 SEUNG HYUN SHIN - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
65 SAUNIER Cameron - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
66 AHMED Mohsen - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
67 LIDSKY Phineas - 1% 8% 27% 41% 21% 1%
68 DODDAPANENI Aarav - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
69 VOO Lucas 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
70 SAVORETTI Pietro - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9%
71 WU Johnny y. 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
72 LU Jacob - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
73 TOWNSHEND Connor 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
74 MODANLOU Navid 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 5%
74 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
76 VYSOTSKIY Evan - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
77 BUI Henry - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
78 SHOUSHA Hamza - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
79 LI Grayson 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
80 ROBINSON Samuel - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
81 SUN Lucas 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
82 KIM Alexander - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
82 TOYOFUKU Ethan - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
84 VEERAVALLI Vivek 2% 17% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
85 DODIN Daniel M. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
86 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 1% 9% 28% 39% 19% 3%
87 AYOTTE James - 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% -
88 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
89 DONG Haiyi(Leo) - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
90 SIEDOW William - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
91 HAMILTON Travis 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
92 DECKER Hunter 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
93 KE Sebastian 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
94 ZHANG Jonathan 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
95 CORBIN Bennett - - 1% 8% 31% 45% 16%
96 MULDOON Thomas - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
97 HSU Joshua 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
98 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - - 1% 10% 35% 45% 8%
99 LIU Andy - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
100 LOISEAU Oscar - 1% 9% 30% 41% 17% 2%
100 NOLAN Tyler 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
102 HUANG Kenneth - 1% 12% 34% 37% 13% 2%
103 GLUSHKOV David 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
104 BRADSHAW Carter - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
104 HERNDON Liam 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
106 LIU Josh 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
107 YI Nathan - - 6% 28% 42% 21% 3%
107 KIM Gene - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
109 LI Timothy 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
110 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
111 ROSIELLO Francesco 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
112 LEUNG Dylan 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
113 LEE Royce 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
113 LIU Adam - - 5% 22% 46% 27%
115 CUMMINGS Owen 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
116 LEE Anton 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1%
117 CHEN Edward 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
118 LOUIE Joseph 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
119 GAO Victor - 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
120 RONG Marcus 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
121 KIM Joshua 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
122 GUO Woody 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
123 SINGLETON Aman - 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
124 SHIN Ryan 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
125 NOH Seungtae 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
126 MILINKOVIC Maksim 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
127 DURKIN Hudson - 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
128 LI Ray 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
129 MIDYANY Evan - 6% 29% 41% 21% 3% -
130 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
131 FU Nolan - 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
132 LI Jade - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
133 IBANEZ Benjamin 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
134 GACIOCH Noah 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
135 KIM Remington 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
136 SOLARZ Arthur 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
136 DENG Henry 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
138 WANG Devin - 6% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
139 CHEN Jayden - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
139 CHOI SEUNGWON - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
141 JAIN Samyak - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
141 MUENKE Magnus - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24% 2%
143 BAGDONAS Olivier 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
144 LEE DoWon - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
144 LIANG Donny 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
146 ZHANG Luqi 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
147 GOODMAN Liam 6% 37% 39% 15% 2% - -
148 CHEW Aedan - 1% 13% 39% 35% 11% 1%
149 VEERAVALLI Pranav 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
150 GAO Ryan 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
151 DEAN Samuel 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
152 KOFMAN David 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
153 ZHAO Pierce 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
154 SCHWITZER Eliot 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 1% -
155 SATHYAN Dev 3% 25% 48% 21% 3% - -
156 ORESKOVIC Olivier 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
157 MECHREFE Anthony 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
157 TRAN Spencer - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
159 QIN Owen 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
160 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
161 MUENKE Torben 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
161 CHOI SIWON 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
163 GADHVI Darius 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
164 PAI Marcus 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
165 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
166 QIAN Irvine 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
167 NAKAS Levent - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
167 JEONG Arisu 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
169 TUMULA Arihaan 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
170 MAXU Tiger 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
170 MARTISEK Martin 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
172 COLE Perrin 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
173 HU HAOYUE - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
174 SU Samuel 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
175 SAYLOR Henry 11% 47% 34% 7% 1% - -
176 LEE Inwoo 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
177 CHU Ted 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
178 DEVINENI Avyang 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
179 CARPENTER Touma S. 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
180 PAN Anthony 10% 37% 36% 15% 3% -
181 BREILING Sebastian 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% -
182 CHAU Collin 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
183 ZHANG Austin 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
184 LIN Daniel 13% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
185 GOWDA Suyog 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
186 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
187 FRIEDMAN Andres 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
188 YAO Tristan 19% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
189 PARKE Nathaniel 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
190 RODOCANACHI Hector 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
191 HE Bronto 6% 25% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
191 SUH Aiden 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
191 CHEN Jayden 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
194 HUANG Ethan 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
194 CHEN Ryan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
196 ABEND James 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
196 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 86% 14% 1% - - - -
198 LARSEN Max 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
199 LI Sean 56% 37% 7% - - - -
200 OLIVAS Joseph 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
201 WELLING Cohen 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
202 RAHMAN Zayd 14% 45% 31% 9% 1% - -
202 HU Jingsen 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
204 LIN Bryan 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
205 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
205 DZIO Ethan 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
207 HERDMAN Julian 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
208 DAVIDSON James 34% 45% 18% 3% - -
209 SUN Neo 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
210 MOSLEY Wally 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
211 LEE Daniel 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
212 ZHAI Junqi 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
213 FUNG SHAUN 2% 36% 42% 17% 3% - -
214 TOYOFUKU Lucas 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
215 EMERSON Zachary 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
216 GUO Luke 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
217 MESSENGER Niko 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
218 NORTON Henry 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
218 SARMIENTO Luke 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
220 NILSEN Mark 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
221 RAHMAN Ali 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
221 COIMBATORE Dillon 71% 26% 3% - - - -
223 DEAN Isaac 65% 31% 4% - - - -
224 SHARMA Keerat 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.