Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Monday, October 13, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROSE-JONES Simon - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
2 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
3 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
5 LIU Adam - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
6 REPIC Oliver 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
7 NILSEN Mark 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
8 HELMY Richard 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
9 KOEPPEL Levi E. - 4% 19% 38% 32% 8%
10 ANAFI Ari 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
11 CHU Brandon A. 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
12 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
13 WU Jerry 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
14 PARKER Isaiah - 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
15 CARTER Austin L. - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
16 LEE Aiden - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
17 SWENSON Keane J. - 2% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
18 EVANS Grant - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
19 O'HARROW Tristan C. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
20 LIOU Solomon - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
21 LOESER Jacob 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
22 RVACHEV Michael 6% 33% 39% 18% 4% -
23 CHEN Raymond 21% 46% 26% 6% 1% -
24 DISIMONE David Z. - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
25 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 5% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1%
26 HUGHES Michael D. - 4% 22% 39% 27% 6%
27 SMITH Troy H. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
28 LI Zeren 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
29 KAPLAN Maddox 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
30 TATE William Isom 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 5% -
31 ALEXANDER Christopher 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
32 LIN Yufei 42% 44% 13% 1% - -
33 COETZEE Frans M. 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7%
34 KOKENGE Chad 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
35 ECKERT Kevin M. 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
36 BAI Brian 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
37 LENAR David 56% 35% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.