Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Monday, October 13, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
3 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
5 LIU Adam 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
6 REPIC Oliver 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
7 NILSEN Mark 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
8 HELMY Richard 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
9 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
10 ANAFI Ari 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
11 CHU Brandon A. 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 3%
12 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
13 WU Jerry 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
14 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
15 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
16 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
17 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
18 EVANS Grant 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
19 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
20 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
21 LOESER Jacob 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
22 RVACHEV Michael 100% 94% 61% 23% 4% -
23 CHEN Raymond 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% -
24 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
25 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1%
26 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
27 SMITH Troy H. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
28 LI Zeren 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
29 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
30 TATE William Isom 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
31 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
32 LIN Yufei 100% 58% 14% 2% - -
33 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
34 KOKENGE Chad 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
35 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
36 BAI Brian 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
37 LENAR David 100% 44% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.