The Fencing Center RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, September 13, 2019 at 1:00 PM

San Jose, CA - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DIECK Logan O.	-	-	1%	6%	24%	44%	26%
2	KIM Benjamin I.	-	-	1%	9%	31%	41%	17%
3	LEVITSKY Jonathan	-	5%	23%	44%	28%
3	SARKAR Agniv	3%	19%	35%	30%	11%	1%
5	KATZ Matheo	-	4%	17%	35%	31%	12%	1%
6	PARK Elliot	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	9%
7	BAGCHI Aritra	-	2%	11%	30%	39%	18%
8	BHARGAV Angad	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
9	JIN daniel	-	1%	5%	21%	42%	31%
10	GUPTA Karan	-	3%	16%	34%	34%	12%
11	ALVAREZ Ian T.	-	-	2%	10%	29%	41%	19%
12	RAMOS Owen	12%	38%	36%	13%	2%
13	WRIGHT Christopher	-	-	4%	19%	39%	30%	7%
14	FINK August	15%	37%	33%	13%	2%	-	-
15	MONDALA Adrian	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	3%
16	ZHUANG William	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
17	MING Nathan	-	4%	17%	34%	33%	12%
18	WILLIS Alan T.	-	3%	14%	33%	36%	14%
19	ULINICH Alexander	19%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-
20	YAO Geoffrey B.	-	-	1%	8%	26%	42%	23%
21	SARKAR Anish	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	5%
22	ZHANG Nathan	2%	13%	31%	33%	17%	4%	-
23	KUO Rylan	1%	10%	35%	40%	14%
24	PHUKAN Rohin	12%	36%	36%	14%	2%	-	-
25	KNUDSEN Travis	1%	10%	29%	35%	19%	5%	-
26	KHAN Muzzammil	11%	32%	34%	18%	5%	-
27	MALEEV Georgy	3%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%	-
28	LEE Bryson	3%	20%	40%	30%	7%
29	ZWICKER Jacob	8%	28%	36%	22%	6%	1%
30	ARUN Madhav	10%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
31	MOFFATT Bryson	24%	41%	26%	8%	1%	-
32	LIANG derek	42%	42%	14%	2%	-
33	WATT Darren	7%	32%	37%	19%	4%	-
34	ZHANG Andrew	11%	34%	36%	16%	3%	-	-
35	ANDERSON Kai	4%	20%	36%	28%	10%	1%
36	YU Austin	2%	13%	33%	36%	14%	2%	-
37	BURLING Trenor	52%	37%	10%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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