Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
2 NG Nico - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 GAO Ryan - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
3 CHEN Cameron - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
5 MANSFIELD Hunter - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
6 KATS Brandon - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
7 TUNG Charlie - 1% 7% 28% 43% 20%
8 CARPENTER Touma S. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
9 SZCZAPA Lukas - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
10 WANG Marcus 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
11 LIN Qianzhong - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
11 KABA Elias - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
13 CHALLAMEL Hadrien - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
14 CAFASSO Alexander - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
15 HENNESSY Levon - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
16 ARMSTRONG Payson - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
17 CHEN Tianjun - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
18 ZHENG Jason - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
19 GILLARD Adan 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
20 BRESLAV Asher - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
20 TSIEN Richard - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
22 LAU LUCAS - - 1% 10% 35% 41% 12%
23 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
24 THOMAS Andrew - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
25 LANE Sawyer 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
26 BHANDARE Veer - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
27 LOPATIN Sergei 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
28 ROBINSON Blake 3% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
29 MASKIN Mikhail - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
30 FRIZZELL Kai - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
31 CHEN Evan - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
32 QI Bryan 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
33 SONG Aidan - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
34 TANG Colin - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
35 NOOL Alexander - - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27%
36 CHO Adrian - - 3% 17% 43% 31% 6%
37 SHEYDIN Barry 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
38 GUJJA Rishabh - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
39 CHEN Daniel 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
40 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
41 SON Isaac 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
42 LI Jayden 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
43 SCHLUBACH Jasper 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
43 CHEN Jayden A 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
45 ZHU Brady - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
46 KIM Louie 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
47 CHEN Aiden - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
48 MERHEJ Sean 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
49 ROFINO Samuel - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
50 TOMPA Paul 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
51 DAND Zahin 4% 20% 39% 29% 7% 1% -
52 ZHENG Jasper 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
53 CHEN Hayden 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
54 TANG Jayce 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
55 NOOL Aaron 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
56 KO Ethan 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
57 NOVAK Luke 13% 35% 35% 15% 2% -
58 ZOU Grant 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
59 YU David - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
60 JIANG Aidan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
61 ZINCHUK Yuri 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
62 LAI Jaxon 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
63 CHANG Connor 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
64 LIU George - 5% 22% 41% 26% 5%
65 ATKINS Elan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
66 MILOWSKY Majai 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
67 JAISING Aaditya 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
68 CARPENTER Taisei 10% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
69 ANDERSON Connor 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
70 LAI Jayden 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
71 PINCIROLI Tommaso 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
72 YADAV Aarav 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
73 CHEN Regis 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
74 DUDDA Kavin 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
74 FRANCK Hunter - 4% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
76 KAZARIAN Matthias 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
77 ZHANG Jacob 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
78 KIM Brendan 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
79 GORE Noah 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
80 YU MAXIMILIAN 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% - -
81 DUNCAN John - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
82 KWON Ryan 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
83 MARKOWITCH Robert 24% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
84 SORONDO Aidan 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
85 CAVALLARO Sebastian 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
86 LEE Ryan 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
87 KESELMAN Ron 23% 43% 27% 6% 1% -
88 APFELBAUM Noam 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
89 JEONG Joseph 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
90 O'BRIEN Michael 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
91 GREGORY Milo 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
92 MATHEW Benjamin 63% 31% 6% - - - -
93 HERIGSTAD Daniel 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.