Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
2 NG Nico 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 GAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
3 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
5 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
6 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
7 TUNG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
8 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
9 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
10 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
11 LIN Qianzhong 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
11 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
13 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
14 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
15 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
16 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
17 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
18 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
19 GILLARD Adan 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
20 BRESLAV Asher 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
20 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
22 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
23 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
24 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
25 LANE Sawyer 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
26 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
27 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
28 ROBINSON Blake 100% 97% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
29 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
30 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
31 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
32 QI Bryan 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
33 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
34 TANG Colin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
35 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
36 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 6%
37 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
38 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
39 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
40 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
41 SON Isaac 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
42 LI Jayden 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
43 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
43 CHEN Jayden A 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
45 ZHU Brady 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
46 KIM Louie 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
47 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
48 MERHEJ Sean 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
49 ROFINO Samuel 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
50 TOMPA Paul 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
51 DAND Zahin 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1% -
52 ZHENG Jasper 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
53 CHEN Hayden 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
54 TANG Jayce 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
55 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
56 KO Ethan 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
57 NOVAK Luke 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
58 ZOU Grant 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
59 YU David 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
60 JIANG Aidan 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
61 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
62 LAI Jaxon 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
63 CHANG Connor 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
64 LIU George 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5%
65 ATKINS Elan 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
66 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
67 JAISING Aaditya 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
68 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
69 ANDERSON Connor 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
70 LAI Jayden 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
71 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
72 YADAV Aarav 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
73 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
74 DUDDA Kavin 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
74 FRANCK Hunter 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
76 KAZARIAN Matthias 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
77 ZHANG Jacob 100% 90% 55% 18% 2% - -
78 KIM Brendan 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
79 GORE Noah 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
80 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
81 DUNCAN John 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
82 KWON Ryan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
83 MARKOWITCH Robert 100% 76% 31% 7% 1% - -
84 SORONDO Aidan 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
85 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
86 LEE Ryan 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
87 KESELMAN Ron 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
88 APFELBAUM Noam 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
89 JEONG Joseph 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
90 O'BRIEN Michael 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
91 GREGORY Milo 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
92 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
93 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.