AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
2 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
3 XU Aasta 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 LI Ariel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
5 XU Amy(Chenyu) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
7 ANDRUS Allie 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 19%
8 SUN Milly 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
9 LI Allison 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
10 YOUNG Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
11 DAI Sophie 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
12 DU Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 4%
13 YANG Nina 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
14 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
15 YU Jiaming 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
16 LI zoey 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
17 LIAO irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
18 XIONG Alice 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
19 CHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
20 LEE Rebecca 100% 99% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
21 REN Harper 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 1%
22 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
23 YU Chloe 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
24 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
25 SHIH Eva 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
26 PARKE Jaime 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 2% -
27 YANG Arianna 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
28 MUKKU Emily 100% 99% 83% 44% 10% 1%
29 CHONG Emma 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
30 ZHANG Carina 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
31 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 9% 1%
32 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
33 BERESTOVITSKY Eva 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
34 SUN Joanna 100% 97% 77% 30% 3%
35 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
36 FLYNN Kensington 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
37 SHI Elle 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 9%
38 HERNASA Elsa 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
39 PAN Zoe 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
40 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 100% 97% 69% 27% 4% -
41 RAJ Indra 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
42 HUANG Jui-An 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
43 SCHMIDT Alexis 100% 74% 30% 6% -
44 WANG Yvonne 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
45 WANG Phoebe 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
46 DU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
47 SHEN Isabella 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
48 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
49 LI Celine 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
50 LI Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
51 YANG Emma 100% 70% 22% 2% -
52 LOO Samantha 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
53 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 100% 90% 53% 14% 2% -
55 MANDAP Natalya 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
56 ZHANG Joy 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
57 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
58 MIAO Anthea 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
59 DEJOY Leilah 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18% 1%
60 RONG Hilary 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
61 WU Angela 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
62 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
63 KUANG Isabella 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
64 HENDERSON Ella 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
65 LI Mia 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
66 LU Chu 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
67 MARTYNOVA Veronica 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
68 SANTIAGO Mara 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
69 LUO Xinyue 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
70 YADAGIRI Aditi 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
71 TRUONG Chloe 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
72 LEE Hyelyn 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
73 MRABET Maya 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 2%
74 MENDIRATTA Olivia 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% - -
74 LIU Emma 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
76 SHIN Nayun 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
78 YU Elise 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% -
79 KUNG Chang-Jie 100% 100% 97% 72% 16%
80 SU Hermione Su 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
81 TRUONG Camilla 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
82 CHADHA Ditvi 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
83 LI Elaine 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
84 LIU Aubrey 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
85 SHIH Cayla 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
86 GHALI Lina 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
87 KAUL Ritisha 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 4% -
88 YE Charlotte 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
89 TOYOFUKU Evelyn 100% 64% 20% 2% - -
91 YAO Astrid 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
92 LA Evelyn 100% 25% 2% - - -
93 TSE Emma 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
94 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
95 HWANG Faith 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.