Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIDYANY Ryan - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
2 NG Nico - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
3 LUO Alexander - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 GAO Ryan - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
5 MANSFIELD Hunter - - - 3% 15% 39% 43%
6 CHEN Cameron - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
7 CHEN Evan - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 29%
8 ARMSTRONG Payson - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
9 CARPENTER Touma S. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
10 SHEYDIN Barry - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
11 CHEN Aiden - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 22%
12 CHALLAMEL Hadrien - 1% 5% 19% 38% 32% 6%
13 LANE Sawyer 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
14 BRESLAV Asher - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
15 ZHENG Jason - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
16 NOOL Aaron - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 3%
17 KABA Elias - - - 1% 6% 33% 61%
18 TUNG Charlie - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
19 LEE Harrison - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
20 NOOL Alexander - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
21 CHEN Hayden 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
22 CHO Adrian - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
23 LI Tyrese 5% 22% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
24 LAI Jayden 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
25 TANG Colin - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 3%
26 LOPATIN Sergei 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
27 YAKHNIS Seth - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
28 HONG Ethen - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
28 CAVALLARO Sebastian 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
30 HOLBROOK Silas 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
31 FRIZZELL Kai 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
32 CHEN Jayden - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
33 MANUEL Eli - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
33 ZHENG Jasper - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
35 FANG Charlie - 1% 7% 23% 38% 25% 6%
36 YOU Emmanuel 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
37 YOON Jonathan 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
38 ROBINSON Blake 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
39 WILLIAMS Gavin 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
40 CHIANG William - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
41 CHANG Connor 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
42 DAND Zahin 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
43 QI Bryan 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
44 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
45 SHAPIRO Samuel - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
46 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
46 THOMAS Andrew - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
48 SHAO Mason 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
49 LIN Qianzhong - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
50 ATKINS Elan 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
51 TOPRANI Valmik - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
51 BOBORIS Dimitrios 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
53 PARISH-MORRIS Jay - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
54 MASKIN Mikhail - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
55 LIU George 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
56 YAO Irvine 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
57 GUJJA Rishabh - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
58 LI Jayden 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
59 VASILEV Victor - 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
60 KLOTS Theo 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
61 BARTON Christian 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
62 TOMPA Paul 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
63 WEI Noah 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
64 KIM Brendan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
65 RUDIGER George 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
66 MERHEJ Sean 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
67 WITHERELL Logan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
68 EFFRON Silas - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
69 FRANCK Hunter 4% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
70 ANDERSON Connor 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
71 ZHANG Shuhao 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
72 JEONG Joseph 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
73 O'BRIEN Michael 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
74 HUEMMER James 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
75 JIANG Aidan 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
76 ACHILOV Murod 7% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
77 LEE Ryan 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
78 LAI Jaxon 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
79 SORONDO Aidan 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
80 CHEN Regis 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
81 CIANCHETTA David 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
82 TANG Jayce 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
83 NOVAK Luke 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
83 DAI Jason 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
83 CARPENTER Taisei 7% 30% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
86 GORE Noah 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
87 PINCIROLI Tommaso 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
88 ZHENG Yicheng Will 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
89 MILOWSKY Majai 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
90 HERIGSTAD Daniel 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
91 DUNCAN John 23% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
92 MATHEW Benjamin 48% 39% 11% 2% - - -
93 ZOU Grant 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
94 DUDDA Kavin 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
95 JAISING Aaditya 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
96 SAJJAD Syed 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
97 YADAV Aarav 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
98 SON Joshua 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.