Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
2 NG Nico 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
3 GAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
5 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
6 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
7 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
8 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
9 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
11 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
12 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
13 LANE Sawyer 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
14 BRESLAV Asher 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
15 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
16 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 3%
17 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
18 TUNG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
19 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
20 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
21 CHEN Hayden 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
22 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
23 LI Tyrese 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
24 LAI Jayden 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
25 TANG Colin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 3%
26 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
27 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
28 HONG Ethen 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
28 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
30 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
31 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
32 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
33 MANUEL Eli 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
33 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
35 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
36 YOU Emmanuel 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
37 YOON Jonathan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
38 ROBINSON Blake 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
39 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
40 CHIANG William 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
41 CHANG Connor 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
42 DAND Zahin 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
43 QI Bryan 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
44 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
45 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
46 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
46 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
48 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
49 LIN Qianzhong 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
50 ATKINS Elan 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
51 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
51 BOBORIS Dimitrios 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
53 PARISH-MORRIS Jay 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
54 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 7%
55 LIU George 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
56 YAO Irvine 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
57 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
58 LI Jayden 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
59 VASILEV Victor 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
60 KLOTS Theo 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 4% -
61 BARTON Christian 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
62 TOMPA Paul 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
63 WEI Noah 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
64 KIM Brendan 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
65 RUDIGER George 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
66 MERHEJ Sean 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
67 WITHERELL Logan 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
68 EFFRON Silas 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
69 FRANCK Hunter 100% 96% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
70 ANDERSON Connor 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
71 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
72 JEONG Joseph 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
73 O'BRIEN Michael 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
74 HUEMMER James 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
75 JIANG Aidan 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
76 ACHILOV Murod 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
77 LEE Ryan 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
78 LAI Jaxon 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
79 SORONDO Aidan 100% 63% 22% 4% 1% - -
80 CHEN Regis 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
81 CIANCHETTA David 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
82 TANG Jayce 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
83 NOVAK Luke 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
83 DAI Jason 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
83 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
86 GORE Noah 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
87 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
88 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
89 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
90 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
91 DUNCAN John 100% 77% 39% 12% 2% - -
92 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
93 ZOU Grant 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
94 DUDDA Kavin 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
95 JAISING Aaditya 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
96 SAJJAD Syed 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
97 YADAV Aarav 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
98 SON Joshua 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.