Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAO Jiemi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
3 MAZAHERI John 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
3 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
5 HUANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
6 LI Mason 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
7 ZHANG Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
8 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
9 ZENG Cayden 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
10 LOZANO Koen Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 4%
11 CHEN Dante 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
12 YU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
13 HO Kasper 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
14 CHANG Owen 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
15 XU Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
16 HUANG Aaron Jingyuan 100% 99% 80% 39% 9% 1%
17 LI Yunze 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
18 ZHANG alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27% 4%
20 ROSOWSKY Phoenix 100% 100% 94% 61%
21 MENG Andy 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
22 BAGWELL Theodore 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
23 LIN Evan 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
24 MENG Eric 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
25 LEE Elliot 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
26 CREMEL Louis 100% 65% 18% 1%
27 LIU Jordan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
28 ZHANG Bryant 100% 88% 47% 7%
29 XU Benjamin 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
30 YIN Luke 100% 99% 88% 60% 23% 3%
31 DONG YIKUN 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
32 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
33 DOMANTAY Dylan 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
34 CHANG Hayden 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
35 WU William 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
36 SANGANI Niam 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
37 CHUNG Lucas 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
38 HE Andrew 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
39 VIVAS Greyson 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
40 FAZIO Lorenzo 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
42 BROD Baylin 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
43 SASOMSUP Kaison 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% -
44 YUAN Vincent 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% 1%
45 GONG Luke 100% 81% 34% 4%
46 TU William 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
47 NACU Andre 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
48 WU Kangdi 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
49 FUNG Andrew 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
50 LU Nathan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
51 HUANG Jeremy Jingcai 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
52 SIN Chad 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
53 MALPICA Tao 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
54 CHEN Alwyn 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1% -
55 SHAO Vincent li 100% 21% 2% - - -
55 DING Jason 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
57 OH Aaron 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.