Midwest ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 BOSS Evan 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
5 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 2%
6 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
7 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 4%
8 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 4%
9 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
10 LEHNER Brian 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
11 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 11%
12 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1%
13 SIEDOW William 100% 99% 86% 44% 6%
14 BISSEN Quinn 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
15 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
16 BUTTA Reese 100% 97% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
17 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
18 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
19 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 3%
20 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6% -
21 SWENSON Diego 100% 53% 14% 2% < 1% -
22 BEACH John 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
23 BLAT Robert 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
24 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
25 FELICIANO Damien 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
26 KRAJ Pawel 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
27 KIM Remington 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1% -
28 SNYDER Alex 100% 99% 82% 37% 4%
29 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
30 THOMSON Champa 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
31 GLEN Ethan 100% 87% 40% 7% -
32 HONG Daniel 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
33 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
34 SAYLOR Henry 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
35 VIDOR Caio 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
36 SHI Yeyu 100% 81% 28% 4% - - -
37 WANG Kaiyan 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6% -
38 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
39 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
40 HERRERA Xavier 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
41 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
42 LARSON Vaughn 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
43 NASSOS Eric 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
44 CAMPBELL Finn 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
45 SLEZAK Christian 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
46 JERDEE Colton 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
47 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
48 MACGREGOR Grant 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
49 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
50 DRAWZ Chase 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
51 SAYLOR Nathaniel 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
52 YANG Junhu 100% 43% 6% - - - -
53 AU Joshua 100% 41% 6% - -
54 TIERNEY Luke 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
54 ALLEN David 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
56 MILLER Lance W. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
57 ALI Adam 100% 99% 85% 40% 9% 1% -
58 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.