October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - 2% 24% 74%
2 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
3 MASSIALAS Alexander C. - - 2% 13% 37% 40% 7%
3 MATHIEU Adam - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
5 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
5 TOURETTE Geoffrey - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
7 CHEN James P. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
8 MACHOVEC Andrew C. - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
9 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 3% 23% 74%
10 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
11 KANESHIGE Brian K. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
12 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
13 WOODS Jack H. - - 1% 9% 33% 44% 13%
14 EMMER Chase T. - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
15 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
16 EVANS Cameron R. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
17 JOHNSON Cole B. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
18 BOROWIAK Arwen - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
19 MARINO Joseph A. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
19 ORTS Lucas E. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
21 BRAVO Kenji U. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
22 KNODT Julian P. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
22 HOLMES Andrew E. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
24 WANG Brian S. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
25 KUCEBA Vitalijs - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
26 YU Eric W. - - 1% 7% 30% 44% 18%
27 HOLMES Stuart S. - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
28 OURSLER Jack - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
29 COLON Cesar L. - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 3%
30 HODGES Carter F. - - 1% 9% 32% 47% 11%
31 REID Clayton J. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
32 IVERSON Shane D. - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
33 LOUIE Bryce - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
34 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
35 LI Brian H. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 17%
35 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
37 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
38 VOGLER Justin K. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
39 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
40 LI Brandon H. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
41 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
41 LEVIN Nestor R. - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
43 RHEINGANS-YOO Duncan R. - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
44 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 10%
45 XIAO Enoch A. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
46 CHEN Ziyuan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
47 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
48 JALOWICA Brandon - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 3%
49 LEVY Jasper - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
50 PRILUTSKY David B. - 1% 5% 22% 41% 29% 3%
51 BOURTIS James S. - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
51 PAIK Joon K. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
53 KAISER Hans Z. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
54 ZUSIN Zachary W. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
55 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
56 GRIFFIN John O. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 6%
57 ZENG Lucas H. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
58 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
59 JOHNSON Aidan J. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
60 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
61 KO Brian J. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
62 HADLER Benjamin N. - 1% 6% 22% 40% 28% 4%
63 HUTH Mitchell 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4% -
64 SHIH William 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
65 GIRALDO Pablo E. 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
66 POON Simon - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
67 ZAKHARIKOV Anton - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
68 DORITY Philip S. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
69 DICKSON Farr R. - - 2% 15% 38% 39% 6%
70 BONTEMS Pierre-Olivier - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
71 KARBONOWSKI Kamil - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
72 TULYAG Fyze A. - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
73 LIU Justin - 1% 6% 25% 47% 22%
74 RANADIVE Rishi R. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
75 PAIK Hyun K. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
76 LIU Niles J. - - 1% 12% 34% 39% 13%
77 HOSSFELD Finn E. - - 3% 14% 34% 38% 12%
78 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - - 3% 15% 38% 35% 8%
79 SHAFAIE Kaveh - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 14%
80 LOPEZ Carlos D. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
81 LIU Patrick - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
82 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 29% 5%
83 GRASS Andrew E. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
84 LEE Benjamin H. - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
85 KIM Nicholas W. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
86 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
87 HOOSHI Dylan M. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
88 ANDREWS Nathan J. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19% 1%
88 XIAO Ethan J. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
90 URODOVSKIKH Evan 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
91 GRIFFITH Jordan - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
92 LUTAR Lucas N. - 3% 16% 38% 35% 9%
93 LEE Daniel C. 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
94 PELOSKY Ryan F. - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
95 CHENG Jonathan 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
96 TIERNEY David A. - - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
97 ZHENG Andrew R. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
97 BANERJEE ANUP 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
99 PITCHER Skylar L. 5% 29% 41% 20% 4% - -
99 UM Ethan A. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
101 KASI Sanjay 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
101 HAY Gavin - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5% -
103 AYUPOV Ilya - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
104 WU Albert 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
104 LI Jiaan 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
106 BESSIRE Nolan S. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
107 DANIEL Ashton - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
107 LU Kerry L. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
107 DUBE Charles-Hugo 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
110 LEVY Jacob M. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
111 PETER Griffin 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
112 JANG Jaewon 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
113 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
114 CHU Aidan J. 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 6% 1%
114 SINGH Dayaal 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
116 MURRAY Thomas J. - 1% 7% 24% 40% 25% 4%
117 SUN Jinfeng 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5% -
118 KELLY William J. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
119 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
119 PAEK Alex J. 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
121 SLEDESKI Andrew - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7% -
122 ZOBEL Eric H. 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
123 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
124 HONG Daniel 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
125 MAROUF Loaay 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
126 TORO Alejandro 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
127 MAO Connor 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
128 WONG Adam L. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
129 SHAFAIE Ali - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
130 GAUDREAU-POLLENDER Julien - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
131 MA Alexander - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
132 WESTELIUS Isak R. 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% - -
133 PRINCE Nicholas J. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
133 LI Simon A. 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
135 CAI Jason Zhicheng 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
136 PARKINS Benjamin B. - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
137 PARK Luke J. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
138 PALAZZOLO William J. 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
139 BLUTT Emerson B. - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
140 BERMENDER Cameron - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
140 HOLLAND Niklas 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
142 ADLER David R. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
143 RITCHIE Luke W. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
144 YEROKHIN Michael N. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
145 GRISWOLD Abel B. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
145 SPEVAK Alexander 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
147 SCHULTES Evans 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
148 OTAKE Jared K. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
148 YU Vinni - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 4%
150 DOBBINS Evan W. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
150 KUMBLA Samarth 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
152 CANNON Caiden C. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
153 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
154 CHEN Allen 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
155 HAN Andersen Y. 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
156 MAURER Ned (John) E. - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
157 NOVACHENKO Nestor V. 1% 10% 46% 33% 9% 1% -
158 JEON Nathan S. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
158 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
158 WU Michael 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
161 THAI William 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
162 BERGER Noe A. 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
163 WU Alexander 1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
164 KIM Brandon J. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
165 MILLER Jeffrey E. - 6% 24% 40% 24% 6% -
166 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
167 GUPTA Eashan 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
168 WONG Wesley C. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
169 VANNI Filippo A. 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
170 CHAN Anthony 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
171 SONG Dylan S. 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
172 KLEIN Caleb R. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
173 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2%
174 ROMANOV Michael 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
175 HU Oliver W. 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
176 GARLINGTON David - 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
177 ANDERSON Colton J. 7% 37% 37% 15% 3% - -
178 REALS Alden D. - 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
179 FUKUDA Alessio R. 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
180 DAVID Maxime 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 6% 1%
181 ZHENG Alan H. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
182 LEE Caden 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% -
183 CHENG Thomas C. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
184 GU Jeffrey 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
185 KIM Aaron J. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
186 BAE Anthony 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
187 HO Ryan J. 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
188 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 18% 43% 29% 9% 1% - -
189 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
189 STANLEY Mason B. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
191 DONG Darren - 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 3%
192 SCHENCK Koen M. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
193 HUTH Jacob 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
194 SHERMAN Marco J. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
195 ZHAO Jason L. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
196 HELTON Noah 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
197 SAMORA Jose G. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
198 YI Stephen K. 6% 32% 40% 19% 3% - -
198 KIM Isaiah G. 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
200 HARTMARK Anders 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
200 ZHOU TIMMY 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
202 CATLIN Adam 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
203 CRALEY Thomas M. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
204 JAUME Andrei 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
205 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
206 OH Samuel H. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
207 MITCHELL Philip D. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
208 GRANT Lachlan K. 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
209 SWEENEY Jack A. 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
210 FARQUHARSON Cole 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
211 GRIFFITH JACK 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
212 YANG Andy H. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
213 YOONG Hans 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
214 POON Alvin 4% 18% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
215 LI Raphael C. 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
216 BRATTON Jack S. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17% 2%
217 LOCKWOOD Owen 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
218 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
219 WAN Jason 1% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2% -
220 LARGAESPADA LUIS V. 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
221 BOJANOV Boris 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
222 RUFFNER Blake W. 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
222 KOECK Tomas E. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
222 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
225 FIELD Miles - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
225 DIERKS Kian 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
225 ONIK Elijah T. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
228 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
229 NGUYEN Nish 12% 32% 34% 18% 4% 1% -
229 MAHDI Mahdi 36% 41% 19% 4% - - -
231 DROUTMAN Ryan 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
232 UPTON Michael 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
232 SONG Aiden S. 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
234 LEVESQUE Louis 39% 49% 11% 1% - - -
235 MURRAY Maximo 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
236 LAURICELLA Douglas 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
237 LIN Dashiell 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
237 RYAN Francis D. 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
239 NEWHARD Noah A. 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
240 ANDERSON David C. 20% 47% 26% 6% 1% - -
241 CHEN Andrew 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
242 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
243 DARIANO Noah G. 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
244 ZHANG Luke T. 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
244 BAE Junnie 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
246 QIAN Michael 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
246 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
248 DAVIS Christopher M. 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
248 OAKLAND Brennan D. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
248 JEON Caleb A. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
248 LE Vyn A. 27% 41% 24% 6% 1% - -
252 DESAI Nalin H. 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
253 WANG Michael 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
254 HAINES Ethan 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
255 IVARSSON Oliver 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
256 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
256 HSIUNG Richie 24% 46% 24% 5% - - -
258 LI Alex 9% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
259 JOHNSON Cooper A. 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
259 SUMMERS Aiden 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
261 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
261 FU Samuel Y. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
261 DESHMUKH Ayush 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.