October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
2 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
3 MASSIALAS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 7%
3 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
5 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
5 TOURETTE Geoffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
7 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
8 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
9 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
10 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
11 KANESHIGE Brian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
12 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
13 WOODS Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13%
14 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
15 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
16 EVANS Cameron R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
17 JOHNSON Cole B. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
18 BOROWIAK Arwen 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
19 MARINO Joseph A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
19 ORTS Lucas E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
21 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
22 KNODT Julian P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
22 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
24 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
25 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
26 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
27 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
28 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
29 COLON Cesar L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 3%
30 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 11%
31 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
32 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
33 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
34 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
35 LI Brian H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 17%
35 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
37 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
38 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
39 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
40 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
41 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
41 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
43 RHEINGANS-YOO Duncan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
44 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 10%
45 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
46 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
47 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
48 JALOWICA Brandon 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
49 LEVY Jasper 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
50 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 3%
51 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
51 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
53 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
54 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
55 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
56 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
57 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
58 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
59 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
60 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
61 KO Brian J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
62 HADLER Benjamin N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
63 HUTH Mitchell 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
64 SHIH William 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
65 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
66 POON Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 21%
67 ZAKHARIKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
68 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
69 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 6%
70 BONTEMS Pierre-Olivier 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
71 KARBONOWSKI Kamil 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
72 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
73 LIU Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 22%
74 RANADIVE Rishi R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
75 PAIK Hyun K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
76 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
77 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
78 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
79 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
80 LOPEZ Carlos D. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
81 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
82 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 5%
83 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
84 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
85 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
86 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
87 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7% 1%
88 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 1%
88 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
90 URODOVSKIKH Evan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
91 GRIFFITH Jordan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
92 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
93 LEE Daniel C. 100% 84% 45% 13% 1% -
94 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
95 CHENG Jonathan 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
96 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
97 ZHENG Andrew R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
97 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
99 PITCHER Skylar L. 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% - -
99 UM Ethan A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
101 KASI Sanjay 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
101 HAY Gavin 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
103 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 6%
104 WU Albert 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
104 LI Jiaan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
106 BESSIRE Nolan S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 6%
107 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 11%
107 LU Kerry L. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
107 DUBE Charles-Hugo 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
110 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
111 PETER Griffin 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
112 JANG Jaewon 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
113 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
114 CHU Aidan J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
114 SINGH Dayaal 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
116 MURRAY Thomas J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
117 SUN Jinfeng 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5% -
118 KELLY William J. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
119 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
119 PAEK Alex J. 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
121 SLEDESKI Andrew 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
122 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
123 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
124 HONG Daniel 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
125 MAROUF Loaay 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
126 TORO Alejandro 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
127 MAO Connor 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
128 WONG Adam L. 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
129 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
130 GAUDREAU-POLLENDER Julien 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
131 MA Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
132 WESTELIUS Isak R. 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
133 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
133 LI Simon A. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
135 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
136 PARKINS Benjamin B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
137 PARK Luke J. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
138 PALAZZOLO William J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% 1%
139 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 1%
140 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
140 HOLLAND Niklas 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
142 ADLER David R. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
143 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
144 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
145 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
145 SPEVAK Alexander 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
147 SCHULTES Evans 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
148 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
148 YU Vinni 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
150 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
150 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
152 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
153 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
154 CHEN Allen 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
155 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
156 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
157 NOVACHENKO Nestor V. 100% 99% 89% 43% 10% 1% -
158 JEON Nathan S. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
158 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
158 WU Michael 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
161 THAI William 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
162 BERGER Noe A. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
163 WU Alexander 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
164 KIM Brandon J. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
165 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
166 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
167 GUPTA Eashan 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
168 WONG Wesley C. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
169 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
170 CHAN Anthony 100% 81% 38% 10% 1% - -
171 SONG Dylan S. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
172 KLEIN Caleb R. 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
173 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
174 ROMANOV Michael 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
175 HU Oliver W. 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
176 GARLINGTON David 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
177 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
178 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
179 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
180 DAVID Maxime 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
181 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
182 LEE Caden 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
183 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
184 GU Jeffrey 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% - -
185 KIM Aaron J. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
186 BAE Anthony 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
187 HO Ryan J. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
188 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
189 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
189 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
191 DONG Darren 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
192 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
193 HUTH Jacob 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
194 SHERMAN Marco J. 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
195 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
196 HELTON Noah 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
197 SAMORA Jose G. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
198 YI Stephen K. 100% 94% 63% 22% 4% - -
198 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
200 HARTMARK Anders 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
200 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
202 CATLIN Adam 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
203 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
204 JAUME Andrei 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
205 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
206 OH Samuel H. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
207 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
208 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1%
209 SWEENEY Jack A. 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
210 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
211 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
212 YANG Andy H. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
213 YOONG Hans 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
214 POON Alvin 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
215 LI Raphael C. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
216 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
217 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
218 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
219 WAN Jason 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 3% -
220 LARGAESPADA LUIS V. 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
221 BOJANOV Boris 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
222 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
222 KOECK Tomas E. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
222 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
225 FIELD Miles 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
225 DIERKS Kian 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% - -
225 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
228 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
229 NGUYEN Nish 100% 88% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
229 MAHDI Mahdi 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
231 DROUTMAN Ryan 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
232 UPTON Michael 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
232 SONG Aiden S. 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
234 LEVESQUE Louis 100% 61% 11% 1% - - -
235 MURRAY Maximo 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
236 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
237 LIN Dashiell 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
237 RYAN Francis D. 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
239 NEWHARD Noah A. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
240 ANDERSON David C. 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
241 CHEN Andrew 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
242 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
243 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
244 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
244 BAE Junnie 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
246 QIAN Michael 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -
246 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
248 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
248 OAKLAND Brennan D. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
248 JEON Caleb A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
248 LE Vyn A. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
252 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
253 WANG Michael 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
254 HAINES Ethan 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
255 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
256 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
256 HSIUNG Richie 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
258 LI Alex 100% 91% 55% 17% 3% -
259 JOHNSON Cooper A. 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
259 SUMMERS Aiden 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
261 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
261 FU Samuel Y. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
261 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.