Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Devin - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
2 YILMAZ Tarik - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
3 ADDYSON Aidan - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
3 KIM Gene - - - - 2% 22% 76%
5 CHANEY Charles - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
6 ZHAI Junqi - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
7 CHO Alex - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
8 LAU LUCAS - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
9 ZHANG jonathan - 1% 12% 43% 44%
10 KROPP Wesley - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
11 GRIGGS Kaiden - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
12 WANG Marcus - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
13 GRIGORENKO Gleb - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
14 LOPATIN Sergei 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
15 SHEYDIN Barry - 5% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
16 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
17 BHANDARE Veer - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
18 CHEN Aiden - 1% 6% 25% 43% 23% 2%
19 TOPRANI Valmik 2% 19% 47% 28% 5%
20 YU Jeremy - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 2%
21 THOMAS Andrew - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
22 CASH William Li - 2% 12% 28% 35% 19% 4%
23 TANG Luke 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
24 HUANG Max - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
25 TSIEN Richard - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
26 CHO Adrian - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
27 KUYKENDALL Logan 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
28 LI Tyrese 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
29 FEELY Benjamin - - 4% 19% 42% 31% 4%
30 GUO Benjamin 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
31 CHAN Ian 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
32 CHONG Eden 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
33 KIM Daniel - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
34 JAZWINSKI Ryan - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 10%
35 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
36 ZHUKOV Egor 5% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
37 JIN Noah 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
38 JIANG Aidan 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
39 HAM Ian 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
40 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
41 PARY Jean Pierre 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
42 LEE Elijah - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
43 CHALLAMEL Hadrien - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
44 DAI Jason 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
45 WEI Jayden 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
46 PARK Jeremy 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
47 FANG Charlie - 2% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2%
48 KHERSONSKY Robert - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
49 LEE Ryan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
50 KONG Ethan 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
51 SCOTTODIMARCO James 3% 25% 41% 25% 6% 1% -
53 LEE Taeryum 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
54 STRAFFORD Andrew - 5% 28% 48% 19%
55 BANG Dylan 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
56 GARIKIPATI Tharan 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
57 LAI Jaxon 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
58 YAO Irvine 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
59 ZENG Felix 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
60 GALIOTE James 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
61 ZHU Brady 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
62 CHAN Nathan 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
63 ZHOU Luke 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
64 HU Charles 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
65 SAAD Peter 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
66 MAXWELL Taiga 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
67 SHULL Matthias 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
68 ZHANG Shuhao 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
69 MILLER Xavier 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
70 WEI Noah 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
71 GORE Noah 58% 36% 6% - -
72 KUBBA Sauvil 15% 50% 29% 5% -
73 FEELY Samuel 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
74 KUYKENDALL Lucas 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
75 FERNANDEZ ZAMBRANA Rafael Lucas 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
76 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 3% 24% 41% 26% 6% 1% -
77 WORMACK Andrew 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
78 YOU Emmanuel 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
79 FENG Xinmin 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
80 CHOI Joshua 44% 42% 12% 1% - - -
81 MORET Declan 65% 30% 5% - - - -
82 ZHAO Brandon 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.