Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
2 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
3 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
5 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
6 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
8 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
9 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
10 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
11 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
12 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
13 GRIGORENKO Gleb 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
14 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 3% -
15 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% 1%
16 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
17 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
18 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25% 2%
19 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 98% 79% 33% 5%
20 YU Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
21 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
22 CASH William Li 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
23 TANG Luke 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
24 HUANG Max 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
25 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
26 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
27 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
28 LI Tyrese 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
29 FEELY Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 4%
30 GUO Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
31 CHAN Ian 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
32 CHONG Eden 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
33 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
34 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
35 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
36 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
37 JIN Noah 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
38 JIANG Aidan 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
39 HAM Ian 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
40 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
41 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 95% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
42 LEE Elijah 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
43 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
44 DAI Jason 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
45 WEI Jayden 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
46 PARK Jeremy 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
47 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
48 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
49 LEE Ryan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
50 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
51 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% 1% -
53 LEE Taeryum 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
54 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 100% 95% 68% 19%
55 BANG Dylan 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
56 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
57 LAI Jaxon 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
58 YAO Irvine 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
59 ZENG Felix 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
60 GALIOTE James 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
61 ZHU Brady 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
62 CHAN Nathan 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
63 ZHOU Luke 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
64 HU Charles 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
65 SAAD Peter 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
66 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
67 SHULL Matthias 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
68 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 91% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
69 MILLER Xavier 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
70 WEI Noah 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
71 GORE Noah 100% 42% 6% - -
72 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 85% 35% 6% -
73 FEELY Samuel 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
74 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
75 FERNANDEZ ZAMBRANA Rafael Lucas 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
76 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
77 WORMACK Andrew 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
78 YOU Emmanuel 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
79 FENG Xinmin 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
80 CHOI Joshua 100% 56% 14% 1% - - -
81 MORET Declan 100% 35% 5% - - - -
82 ZHAO Brandon 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.