Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene - - - - 3% 29% 68%
2 DODIN Daniel M. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
3 LUO Alexander - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - - 1% 11% 44% 44%
5 SINGLETON Aman - - - - 5% 30% 65%
6 GRIGORENKO Gleb - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
7 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
8 NG Nico - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
9 BOUDREAUX James - - - - - 8% 91%
10 SZCZAPA Lukas - - 1% 10% 33% 46% 10%
11 LEE Anton - - - 4% 29% 66%
12 FEELY Benjamin - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
13 MEHROTRA Neel - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
14 CHEN Cameron - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 8%
15 GORDEEV Peter - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
16 CHANEY Charles - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
17 ADDYSON Aidan - - 3% 18% 42% 35% 2%
18 KROPP Wesley - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
19 BHANDARE Veer - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
20 ZHENG Jasper 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6% -
21 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
22 STRAFFORD Andrew - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
23 KARYUCHENKO Yehor - - - - 1% 17% 81%
24 LOPATIN Sergei 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
25 CARPENTER Touma S. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
26 KIM Julian - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
27 CHEN Tianjun - - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
28 KATS Brandon - - 3% 17% 44% 35%
29 CHANG Matthew - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
30 ZHAI Junqi - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
31 FANG Charlie 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% -
32 KHAVKIN Alexander 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
33 TUNG Charlie - 3% 17% 36% 31% 10% 1%
34 WANG Marcus - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
35 KICIMAN Leo - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
36 ALPSOY Emir - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
37 MIKHAIL Lucas - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
38 MA Nolan - - 4% 17% 37% 35% 7%
39 HENNESSY Levon - 1% 9% 32% 45% 13%
40 GOODMAN Liam - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
41 ZHOU Zhi Matthew - 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
42 VAN RIET Stefan - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
43 KABA Elias - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
43 THOMAS Andrew - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
45 KIM Doyun 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
47 TANG Daniel - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
48 GRIGGS Kaiden - 5% 22% 38% 28% 6%
49 GUNDUBOGULA Saket - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
50 HONG Ethen 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
51 SAAD Peter 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
52 CHO Alex - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
53 TOPRANI Valmik - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% -
54 ZHENG Jason - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
55 MIDYANY Ryan - - - 4% 21% 49% 25%
56 LEE Ryan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
57 PARY Jean Pierre 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
58 PATEL Tej 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
59 CHONG Eden 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
60 CHIANG William - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
61 WU MiEr - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
62 CHALLAMEL Hadrien - 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% -
63 SONG Aidan - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
64 LI Tyrese 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
65 MOSTOVOY philip - - - 4% 20% 42% 32%
66 YAKHNIS Seth - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
67 WANG Marcus - 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
68 CHEN Aiden - 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 5%
69 CHO Adrian - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
70 ALI Rayan - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
71 HANTOV Adrian - 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
72 MCGRATH Hogan 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
73 BORAN Brooks - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
74 SCOTTODIMARCO James 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
75 CHEN Isaac Zhi - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
76 LAU LUCAS - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
77 GUO Benjamin - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
78 SHEYDIN Barry 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
79 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan - 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
80 PETERS Keane - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
81 PENG Ethan - 2% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
82 LEE Leo - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
83 HUANG Max - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22% 1%
84 LEE Taeryum 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
85 HUR Tyson 5% 22% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
86 ZHUKOV Egor 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
87 YAO Ryan - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
88 MOSLEY Wally - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
89 GEVA Reuben 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
90 CHAN Ian 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
91 HUDSON Declan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
92 KUYKENDALL Logan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
93 KHERSONSKY Robert 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
94 NOOL Alexander - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
95 KO Ethan 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
96 KIM Louie 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
97 WEI Jayden 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
98 ARMSTRONG Payson - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
98 CAREY John - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
100 GATEWOOD Michael - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
100 CASH William Li - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
102 FREEMAN Jake Matthew - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14% 1%
102 WU James 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
102 CHEN Hayden - 5% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
105 JIANG Aidan 6% 31% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
106 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
107 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
108 ZHANG Shuhao 5% 35% 39% 17% 3% - -
109 TANG Colin 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
110 DOAN Christopher - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
111 CHEN Daniel 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
112 MILLER Xavier 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
113 CHEN Evan - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
114 TUMULA Arihaan - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
115 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
116 ZHOU Luke - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
117 MERHEJ Sean 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
118 KUYKENDALL Lucas 2% 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
119 TSIEN Richard - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
120 JIN Noah 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
121 LAI Jaxon 8% 32% 38% 17% 4% - -
122 KIM Siwoo 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
123 WORMACK Andrew 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
124 YOO Lucas 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
125 KONG Ethan 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
126 FRIZZELL Kai 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
127 WU Jiachen 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3% -
128 HOLBROOK Silas 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
129 KELLY Blair - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
130 MA Joseph 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% -
131 PATEL Yash 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
132 ZHAO Brandon 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
133 PIMIENTO Tomas - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
134 KUBBA Sauvil 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% 1% -
135 MEDISETTI Arjun 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1%
136 TANG Jayce 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
137 KIM Brendan 57% 34% 8% 1% - -
138 VORONIN Zachary 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
139 ATKINS Elan 3% 29% 42% 21% 4% - -
140 NOOL Aaron - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
141 BANG Dylan 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% 1%
142 YOON Jonathan 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
142 PARK Ethan 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4% -
144 MBERIA Henry 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
145 SHAPIRO Samuel 4% 29% 43% 20% 4% - -
146 MAURAIS JP 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
147 CAVALLARO Sebastian 3% 27% 43% 22% 5% - -
148 KESELMAN Ron 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
149 FEELY Samuel 12% 38% 36% 12% 2% - -
150 BRATU Max 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
151 SHULL Matthias 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
152 CHEN Jayden A 7% 28% 39% 22% 4% -
152 JEONG Joseph 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
154 PAYE Adam Trevor 19% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
154 CIANCHETTA David 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
156 LANE Sawyer 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
157 WANG Liam 4% 32% 41% 18% 3% - -
158 ZAGRAN Ivan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
159 LAI Jayden 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
160 PURCELL Jonathan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
161 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
162 BARTON Christian 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
162 CARPENTER Taisei 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
164 PARK Jeremy 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
165 YOU Emmanuel 9% 36% 36% 16% 3% - -
165 GALIOTE James 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
167 YANG JULIAN 6% 41% 39% 12% 2% - -
168 FENG Xinmin 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
169 KICIMAN Louis 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
170 SCHLUBACH Jasper 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
171 MAXWELL Taiga 9% 34% 36% 17% 3% -
172 WILLIAMS Gavin 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
173 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
174 LIU Alrik SiWei 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
175 YAO Aiden 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
176 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
177 ZHANG Aiden 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% -
178 SLAVIN Tamir 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
178 ZINCHUK Yuri 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
180 KRAVCHENKO Philip 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
181 QU ethan 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
182 BHATT Shivam 54% 37% 9% 1% - - -
183 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
184 SON Isaac 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
184 PETTYPIECE-FIELDS Graham 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
186 YEALDHALL Griffin 72% 25% 3% - - - -
187 YU Rex 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
188 LUI Jonah 72% 25% 3% - - - -
189 HWANG Christopher 64% 30% 6% - - - -
190 MATHEW Benjamin 70% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.