Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69%
3 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
5 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
6 GRIGORENKO Gleb 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
7 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
8 NG Nico 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
9 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
10 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 10%
11 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
12 FEELY Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
13 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
14 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
15 GORDEEV Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
16 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
17 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 2%
18 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
19 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
20 ZHENG Jasper 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% -
21 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
22 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
23 KARYUCHENKO Yehor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
24 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
25 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
26 KIM Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
27 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
28 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
29 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
30 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
31 FANG Charlie 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
32 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9% 1%
33 TUNG Charlie 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
34 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
35 KICIMAN Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
36 ALPSOY Emir 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
37 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
38 MA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 7%
39 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13%
40 GOODMAN Liam 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
41 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
42 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
43 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
43 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
45 KIM Doyun 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
47 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
48 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
49 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
50 HONG Ethen 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
51 SAAD Peter 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% -
52 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
53 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
54 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
55 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 25%
56 LEE Ryan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
57 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
58 PATEL Tej 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
59 CHONG Eden 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% 1%
60 CHIANG William 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
61 WU MiEr 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
62 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% -
63 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
64 LI Tyrese 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
65 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
66 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
67 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
68 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
69 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
70 ALI Rayan 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
71 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
72 MCGRATH Hogan 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
73 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
74 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
75 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
76 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
77 GUO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
78 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
79 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
80 PETERS Keane 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
81 PENG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 18% 2%
82 LEE Leo 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
83 HUANG Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 1%
84 LEE Taeryum 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% - -
85 HUR Tyson 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
86 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5% -
87 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
88 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
89 GEVA Reuben 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
90 CHAN Ian 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
91 HUDSON Declan 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
92 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
93 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
94 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
95 KO Ethan 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
96 KIM Louie 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
97 WEI Jayden 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
98 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
98 CAREY John 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
100 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
100 CASH William Li 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
102 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% 1%
102 WU James 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
102 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
105 JIANG Aidan 100% 94% 63% 25% 6% 1% -
106 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
107 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
108 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 95% 60% 21% 4% - -
109 TANG Colin 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
110 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
111 CHEN Daniel 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
112 MILLER Xavier 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
113 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
114 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
115 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
116 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
117 MERHEJ Sean 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% - -
118 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 98% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
119 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
120 JIN Noah 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
121 LAI Jaxon 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
122 KIM Siwoo 100% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
123 WORMACK Andrew 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
124 YOO Lucas 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
125 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
126 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1% -
127 WU Jiachen 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
128 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
129 KELLY Blair 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
130 MA Joseph 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
131 PATEL Yash 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
132 ZHAO Brandon 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
133 PIMIENTO Tomas 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
134 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
135 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1%
136 TANG Jayce 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
137 KIM Brendan 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
138 VORONIN Zachary 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
139 ATKINS Elan 100% 97% 68% 25% 4% - -
140 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
141 BANG Dylan 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
142 YOON Jonathan 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
142 PARK Ethan 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
144 MBERIA Henry 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
145 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 96% 67% 24% 4% - -
146 MAURAIS JP 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
147 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 97% 69% 27% 5% - -
148 KESELMAN Ron 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
149 FEELY Samuel 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
150 BRATU Max 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
151 SHULL Matthias 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
152 CHEN Jayden A 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
152 JEONG Joseph 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
154 PAYE Adam Trevor 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
154 CIANCHETTA David 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
156 LANE Sawyer 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
157 WANG Liam 100% 96% 63% 22% 4% - -
158 ZAGRAN Ivan 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
159 LAI Jayden 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
160 PURCELL Jonathan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
161 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
162 BARTON Christian 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
162 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
164 PARK Jeremy 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
165 YOU Emmanuel 100% 91% 55% 19% 4% - -
165 GALIOTE James 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
167 YANG JULIAN 100% 94% 53% 14% 2% - -
168 FENG Xinmin 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
169 KICIMAN Louis 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
170 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 94% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
171 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% -
172 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
173 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
174 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
175 YAO Aiden 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
176 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
177 ZHANG Aiden 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% -
178 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
178 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
180 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
181 QU ethan 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
182 BHATT Shivam 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
183 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
184 SON Isaac 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
184 PETTYPIECE-FIELDS Graham 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
186 YEALDHALL Griffin 100% 28% 3% - - - -
187 YU Rex 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5% -
188 LUI Jonah 100% 28% 3% - - - -
189 HWANG Christopher 100% 36% 6% - - - -
190 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 30% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.