Midwest SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Canlan Sports Libertyville - Libertyville, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
2 GRIGORENKO Gleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
3 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 29%
5 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
6 HERDMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 7%
7 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
8 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
9 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
10 GOODMAN Liam 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
11 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
12 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 7%
13 FONG Kobe 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
14 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
15 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
16 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
17 KICIMAN Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
18 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
19 WANG Eason 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
20 KIM Doyun 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
21 D'SA Thomas 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
22 DANG William 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
23 CHEN Linus 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
24 LEE James K. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
25 DING Max 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
26 PETERS Keane 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
28 CHIANG William 100% 100% 99% 84% 45% 8%
29 WYCHULIS Tristan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
30 LEE Leo 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
31 PERRY Noah 100% 100% 94% 64% 22% 2%
32 MA Joseph 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
33 LIU Maximilian 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
34 NICHOLAS Miles 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
35 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 2%
36 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
37 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 7%
38 CHINTA Vivaan 100% 43% 7% < 1% - -
39 KESELMAN Ron 100% 80% 33% 5% -
40 JIN Noah 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
41 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
42 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
43 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 60% 15% 1% -
44 MUNOZ Rocco 100% 95% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
45 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
46 KICIMAN Louis 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
47 CROSSETT Peter 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
48 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
48 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
50 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
51 PRONIEWSKI Julian 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
52 DEVISETTY Sohun 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
53 ZHANG Eric 100% 99% 85% 44% 11% 1%
54 VANAMA Agastya 100% 93% 60% 18% 2% -
55 PURUSHOTHAM Neil 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
56 MBERIA Henry 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
57 FILKOV Timur 100% 76% 24% 3% - -
57 FRANK Luke 100% 90% 51% 13% 1% -
59 QU ethan 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
60 KLOTS Theo 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
61 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
62 PAGLIARINI James 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
63 ABEZGAUZ Ariel 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
64 MITTELSTAEDT EJ 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
65 KIM Siwoo 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
66 ANDREWS Elliott 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
67 CHEN Regis 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
68 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 95% 65% 20% 2%
69 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 84% 33% 5% - -
70 DIERKING Cameron 100% 50% 9% 1% - -
71 LEE Wilson 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.