March NAC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan - - - - 3% 24% 72%
2 LUO Alexander - - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 KROPP Wesley - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
3 HWANG Matthew - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
5 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
6 CHEN Aiden - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 37%
7 LIU Austin - - - 3% 15% 39% 42%
8 LAI Jayden 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
9 LEE Lucas - - 2% 13% 38% 40% 7%
10 WU MiEr - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
11 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
12 NOOL Aaron - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 8%
13 MASKIN Mikhail - 2% 17% 45% 36%
14 YAO Aiden - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
15 LIN Bryan - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
16 WANG Suian (Andy) - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
17 WU Nathan - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
18 TANG Daniel - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
19 LEE Leo - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
20 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
21 LI Andy - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
22 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
23 SAMOYLOV Daniel - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
24 KUYKENDALL Logan - 2% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
25 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
26 JIN Noah - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
27 LIU Yihong - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
28 CHIANG William - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
29 WANG carson - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
30 YAO Ryan - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
31 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
32 YIM Antonio 2% 17% 43% 32% 7%
33 LEE James K. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
34 LU Ian - 2% 13% 33% 37% 16%
35 FANG Charlie - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
36 WANG Mason - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
37 TANG Luke - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
38 MOSLEY Wally - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
39 TIAN Dylan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
40 HUA Nolan - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
40 MBERIA Henry 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
42 ZHANG Aiden - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
43 MA Joseph - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
44 GEVA Reuben - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
45 FAYEZ Adam - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
46 WONG Kyle - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 20%
47 CHAN Nathan 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
48 YOO Lucas - 2% 15% 38% 35% 8% -
49 CHEN Linus 1% 8% 31% 43% 17%
50 JU Shang - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
51 ZHENG Jasper - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
52 DING Max - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
53 SUN Jerry - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 8%
54 MITTELSTAEDT EJ 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
55 YAO Irvine 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
56 BENNETTE Graham 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
57 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 1%
58 ZHANG Jayden 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
59 ZHAO Luke 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
60 KUYKENDALL Lucas 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
61 YOU Asher - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
62 SCHLUBACH Jasper 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
63 SI Alexander 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
64 YIM Benjamin 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
65 RAU Shogun - - 1% 6% 22% 43% 29%
66 FU Benjamin - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
67 LEUNG Joon 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
68 PURCELL Jonathan - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
70 KOVAC Blake - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
71 KIM Ian - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
72 CHA Aiden 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
73 KO Ethan - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
74 BOROVIKOV Alexander 1% 6% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
75 CAREY John - - 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
76 ZHAO Ryan - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
77 CHEN Nathan - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
78 LIU Maximilian 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
79 YI Alexander - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
80 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
81 LI Vance 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
81 CHEN Hayden 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
83 ZHANG Eason - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
84 BALLEZA Maximilian - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
85 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
86 YUN Mason - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
87 GUO Jonathan 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
87 CHEN Regis 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
89 BALUCAN Gabriel 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
90 YU Rex 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
91 THOMSON Piers 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
92 ROBERTS Arthur - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
93 LAI Jaxon 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
94 CHU Clayton 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
95 HAO hardy 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
96 KRAVCHENKO Philip 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
97 YOON Ian 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
98 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
99 LI Jayden 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
100 GUJJA Rishabh - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 2%
101 HOLDEN Harrison - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
102 PARK Ethan - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
103 NG Remy - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
104 IVANOV Andrew 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
105 LEE Daniel 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
106 LU Shawn 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
107 NOVOSELOV Roman - 2% 14% 37% 36% 10%
108 KICIMAN Louis 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
109 CHEN Anderson 1% 9% 30% 37% 20% 4%
110 SZETO Jonathan 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
111 SOMANI Ilyaa 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
112 KIM Siwoo 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
113 WANG William 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
114 ZHAO Brandon 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
115 SOHONI Vir 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
116 CHEUNG Daniel 2% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1% -
117 MILOWSKY Majai 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
118 WANG Henry 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
119 XUAN nathan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
120 VAN RIET Matteo 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
121 YONG Connor 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
122 KIM Aiden - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
123 LIU YULIN 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
124 CHAU Ivan 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
125 FERNANDEZ Chenxing 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
126 YAN Milan 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
127 YOU Emmanuel 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
128 PAGLIARINI James 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
129 LI Kingston 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
130 CHEN Caleb 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
131 GORE Noah 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
132 JUNG Brandon 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
133 BUTLER Xavier - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
134 KHALID Ilyas 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
135 HOHMAN Elias 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
136 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
137 FONG Ethan 30% 47% 19% 3% -
138 XIONG Alec 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
139 AHMAD Aydin 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
140 HWANG Christopher 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
141 YADAV Aarav 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
142 CHANG Ephram 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
143 QU ethan 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
144 LIN Oliver 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
145 BONTHA Aneesh 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
146 TANG Jayce 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
147 GIRIRAJ Aditya 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
149 CARPENTER Taisei 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
150 WANG Lucas 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
151 CHEN Zhi-yang 2% 17% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
152 CHO Lincoln 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
153 WANG Alexander 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
154 BUCHNER Theodore 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
155 CHI Zachary 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
156 MORET Declan 69% 27% 4% - - -
157 DAI Jason - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
158 GREGORY Milo 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
159 CHU Joe 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
160 AKKARA Skyler 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
161 JIANG Adam - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
162 SATHYAN Dhruv 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
163 LAM Brandon 1% 10% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
164 ZHANG Jacob 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
164 ORIGER John - < 1% - 3% 21% 52% 24%
166 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 8% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
167 MILLER Brodrick 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
167 HATZIGIANNIS Paris 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
169 ALI Akash 4% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
170 BUSH Andrew 6% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
171 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
172 TRIVULCE Ethan 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
173 ECCLESTONE Liam 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -
174 GAO Kevin 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
175 LENEGHAN Declan 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
176 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
177 MATUSOW Brandon 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
177 LI Nathan Zeting 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
179 YONG Dylan 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
180 LI Jacob 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
180 JAISING Kian 4% 19% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
182 LAW Benjamin 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
182 YU Luca 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
184 LI Sean 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
185 LIU FREDERICK < 1% 5% 22% 40% 28% 6%
186 KIM Brendan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
187 SOTO Lucas 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
188 LIN Daniel 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
189 GAO Jonathan G. 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
190 SCHELTZ Owen 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
191 ZHOU Scott < 1% 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
192 DOLEZAL Grayson 30% 46% 20% 3% -
193 REED Andrew 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
193 WU JiaEr 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
195 KIM Kaiden 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
196 ROCHE Theodore 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% -
197 REN Mark 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
198 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
199 JI Dylan 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
199 HERIGSTAD Daniel 33% 42% 19% 4% - - -
199 WU KADEN 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
202 BARTELT Alexander 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
203 CHAN Aiden 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.