Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEWIS Malcolm X. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
2 YANG Alex - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
3 ZHANG Jonathan - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
3 BHANDARE Veer - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
5 LAU LUCAS - 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11%
6 BAYUS Oliver - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
7 LYCHKO Maksym - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
8 MCCLEAN III Walter F. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
9 LEE Connor - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
10 TOPRANI Valmik 3% 16% 31% 29% 16% 4% -
11 CHAU Collin - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
12 BANYON-MRAK Aiden J. - - - - 2% 41% 58%
13 ZANKOWSKI Brendan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
14 LEE Henry - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
15 ERIKSEN Casey - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
16 DATSON David - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
17 FERRAIOLO James D. - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
18 OLSON Stephen J. - - - 3% 32% 47% 18%
19 AKBAY Bora - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
20 WU Matthew - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
21 NUNEZ Jorge - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
22 WANG Marcus 4% 23% 40% 27% 6% - -
23 SHELLY Emery - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
23 BANG Dylan 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 9% 1%
25 MANTINAOS Constantinos 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
26 CHONG Eden 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
27 ANDERSON Riley - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
28 MAGUIRE Timothy 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
29 OSHIMA Robert 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
30 ZHENG Jason - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
31 LIN Lucas 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
32 MCDONNELL Nathaniel - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
33 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
34 LIU Pan Iok 17% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
35 KIM Zac 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
36 DELONG Mike - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
37 KLINKENBERG Patrick 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
38 BARONE Anthony 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
39 LIN Yufei 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
40 LI Ryan - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
41 ZHANG Shaoyan - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
42 MA Sean - 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
43 FOGEL Jake 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
44 MRAK Michael R. - - < 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
45 MARRAN John 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
46 DANILOV Artur 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
47 WARD Carrington R. - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
48 KLOTS Theo 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
49 MARVIN Christopher 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
50 STEVENS Owen 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
50 DANG William 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% - -
50 HEISLER Maxfield 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
53 XIE Richard 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
54 COLÓN Atum 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
55 SONPAL Winslow 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
55 WU Pingchien 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
57 JIANG Aidan 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
58 DORSEY Noah 5% 35% 38% 17% 4% - -
59 REELS Eric J. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
60 MCFADDEN Charles 2% 12% 33% 37% 16% 1% -
61 PILLAI Aditya 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
62 LEE Kalvin 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
63 LI Tyrese 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
64 BRESLAV Asher 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
65 JIANG Shiyu 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
66 MCGRATH Hogan 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
67 LEE Ryan 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
67 CHOI Joshua 74% 24% 2% - - - -
69 HONG Ethen 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
70 LI Drew X 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.