Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEWIS Malcolm X. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
2 YANG Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
3 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
3 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
5 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 99% 92% 73% 40% 11%
6 BAYUS Oliver 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
7 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
8 MCCLEAN III Walter F. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
9 LEE Connor 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
10 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 97% 80% 50% 20% 5% -
11 CHAU Collin 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
12 BANYON-MRAK Aiden J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 58%
13 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
14 LEE Henry 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
15 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
16 DATSON David 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 18% 3%
17 FERRAIOLO James D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10%
18 OLSON Stephen J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65% 18%
19 AKBAY Bora 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
20 WU Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
21 NUNEZ Jorge 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
22 WANG Marcus 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% - -
23 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
23 BANG Dylan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
25 MANTINAOS Constantinos 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
26 CHONG Eden 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
27 ANDERSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
28 MAGUIRE Timothy 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
29 OSHIMA Robert 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
30 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
31 LIN Lucas 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
32 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
33 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
34 LIU Pan Iok 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
35 KIM Zac 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% 1%
36 DELONG Mike 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
37 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
38 BARONE Anthony 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
39 LIN Yufei 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
40 LI Ryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
41 ZHANG Shaoyan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
42 MA Sean 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
43 FOGEL Jake 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
44 MRAK Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
45 MARRAN John 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
46 DANILOV Artur 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
47 WARD Carrington R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
48 KLOTS Theo 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
49 MARVIN Christopher 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
50 STEVENS Owen 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
50 DANG William 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% - -
50 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
53 XIE Richard 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
54 COLÓN Atum 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
55 SONPAL Winslow 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
55 WU Pingchien 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
57 JIANG Aidan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
58 DORSEY Noah 100% 95% 59% 21% 4% - -
59 REELS Eric J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
60 MCFADDEN Charles 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1% -
61 PILLAI Aditya 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
62 LEE Kalvin 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
63 LI Tyrese 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
64 BRESLAV Asher 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
65 JIANG Shiyu 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
66 MCGRATH Hogan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
67 LEE Ryan 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
67 CHOI Joshua 100% 26% 3% - - - -
69 HONG Ethen 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
70 LI Drew X 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.