American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ADDYSON Aidan - - - 4% 23% 49% 24%
2 BHANDARE Veer - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
3 BRESLAV Asher - 1% 7% 31% 50% 12%
3 LAJOIE Christophe - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
5 KABA Elias - - - 4% 29% 67%
6 LIU Andrew - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
8 THOMAS Andrew - 4% 24% 45% 26%
9 MANSFIELD Hunter - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
10 CHANEY Charles - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
11 HENNESSY Levon - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
12 LAI Jayden 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
13 SZCZAPA Lukas - - 2% 14% 43% 40%
14 CHEN Aiden - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
15 CHEN Jayden A 1% 11% 35% 40% 13% 1%
16 CARPENTER Touma S. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
17 TANG Luke - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
18 KIM Louie 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
19 SONG Aidan - 6% 28% 44% 22%
20 KHERSONSKY Robert - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
21 WILLIAMS Gavin 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
22 MERHEJ Sean 3% 29% 42% 21% 4% -
23 TSIEN Richard - - 2% 12% 35% 41% 10%
24 STRAFFORD Andrew - 1% 9% 30% 43% 16%
25 JIN Noah 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1%
26 MARKOWITCH Robert 44% 40% 13% 2% - -
27 BARTON Christian 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
28 GROVER Aditya 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
29 QI Bryan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% 1%
30 MOSTOVOY philip - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
31 WANG Marcus - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
32 JEPP Michael 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
33 YAKHNIS Seth - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
34 HUANG Max - - 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
35 YAZDANFAR Marius - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
36 CIANCHETTA David 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
37 KIM Brendan 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
38 JIANG Aidan 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
39 SCHLUBACH Jasper 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
40 KO Ethan - 4% 20% 38% 30% 7% 1%
41 LANE Sawyer 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
42 FANG Charlie - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
43 ZAGRAN Ivan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
45 TOMPA Paul 8% 41% 38% 12% 1%
46 DEVISETTY Sohun 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
47 CHAN Aiden 66% 30% 4% - -
49 SHAO Mason 4% 29% 43% 20% 4% -
50 MONDESIR Aidan Dickson - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
51 YOU Emmanuel 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
52 KLOTS Theo 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
53 CARPENTER Taisei 17% 44% 31% 8% 1% -
54 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 2%
55 FRIZZELL Kai 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
56 ANDERSON Connor 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
57 LEE Harrison - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
58 LEE Jude 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
59 WU Caden 38% 41% 17% 4% - -
60 WITHERELL Logan 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
61 YAO Irvine 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
62 LOPATIN Sergei 1% 17% 42% 32% 7%
63 MATHEW Benjamin 71% 26% 3% - - -
64 ZHEN Maxwell 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
65 WANG Aidan 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
66 ACHILOV Murod 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
67 KESELMAN Ron 6% 27% 39% 23% 6% - -
68 CHANG Connor 4% 24% 43% 24% 4% -
69 HENRY Arthur 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
71 HWANG Christopher 37% 44% 17% 2% - -
72 SHAPIRO Samuel 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
73 SAJJAD Syed 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.