American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 24%
2 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
3 BRESLAV Asher 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 12%
3 LAJOIE Christophe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
5 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
6 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
8 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 96% 71% 26%
9 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
11 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
12 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
13 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
14 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
15 CHEN Jayden A 100% 99% 88% 54% 13% 1%
16 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
17 TANG Luke 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
18 KIM Louie 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
19 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 94% 66% 22%
20 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
21 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
22 MERHEJ Sean 100% 97% 67% 25% 5% -
23 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 10%
24 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
25 JIN Noah 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
26 MARKOWITCH Robert 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
27 BARTON Christian 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
28 GROVER Aditya 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
29 QI Bryan 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 7% 1%
30 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
31 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
32 JEPP Michael 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
33 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
34 HUANG Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 9%
35 YAZDANFAR Marius 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
36 CIANCHETTA David 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
37 KIM Brendan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
38 JIANG Aidan 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
39 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
40 KO Ethan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% 1%
41 LANE Sawyer 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
42 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
43 ZAGRAN Ivan 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
45 TOMPA Paul 100% 92% 52% 14% 1%
46 DEVISETTY Sohun 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
47 CHAN Aiden 100% 34% 5% - -
49 SHAO Mason 100% 96% 67% 24% 4% -
50 MONDESIR Aidan Dickson 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
51 YOU Emmanuel 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
52 KLOTS Theo 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
53 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 83% 39% 8% 1% -
54 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
55 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
56 ANDERSON Connor 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
57 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
58 LEE Jude 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
59 WU Caden 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
60 WITHERELL Logan 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
61 YAO Irvine 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
62 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 99% 82% 39% 7%
63 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 29% 3% - - -
64 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
65 WANG Aidan 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
66 ACHILOV Murod 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
67 KESELMAN Ron 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% - -
68 CHANG Connor 100% 96% 72% 29% 4% -
69 HENRY Arthur 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
71 HWANG Christopher 100% 63% 19% 2% - -
72 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
73 SAJJAD Syed 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.